January 1, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sounds Delicious | 0.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crimson Frost | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Friend of Liberty | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bobby’s Song | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jc’s Shooting Star | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Legion Storm | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon N Rye | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Did It | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tammany Giant | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tenency | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frost’s Song | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kavansberg | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Annette’s Humor | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Call It a Truce | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rose of Dublin | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Caralicious | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Brown Cat | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ladyberg | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dontcallmefrancis | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | T J’s Rose Ella | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Caledonian | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Backsideofthemoon | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5A | 4 | Small Bear | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | Hit It Once More | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Roaming Union | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Holiday Bonus | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bronx Sandman | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cirque | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Passporttovictory | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Marion | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pinchbeck | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Scorpion Bowl | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Carrera Cat | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gentle Annie | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Southern Fried Fun | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | I Saw It All | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | D Emcee | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Wisecrack | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 2 | Lettercarrierhenry | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Stone Breaker | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dr. Lloyd | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Simbasalltrouble | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Papa Jim | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Straphanger | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Dollarsforpennies | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Picco Uno | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Aunt Babe | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Fair Regis | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Flat Calm | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Timely Tradition | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Roxy Girl | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ribbonite | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Moondance Joy | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Baby Boss | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Jerome S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Souper Jackpot | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mind Control | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Direct Order | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gates of Dawn | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Braintrust | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Family Biz | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gypsum Johnny | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | King Kranz | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Alright Alright | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Conquest Prankster | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Crafty Concorde | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dancetrack | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Bitumen | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fifty Eight O G | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Samadi Sky | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | For Pops | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | The Great Samurai | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.