December 31, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Bellerin | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Camino de Estrella | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Topgallant | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Hot American | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Offshore | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ayacara (GB) | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gray Admiral | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Platinum Equity | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Roaring Fork | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hoover Tower | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Buck Duane | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Friendly Steve | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | All I Can Say | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Smokin B | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Trappiza | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Second Fiddle | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crackling Bread | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Venice | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heloise | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Here’slookinatya | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tell My Fortune | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brite Rivers | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | He Will | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Accountability | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brandothebartender | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | More Power to Him | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King Abner | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Start a Runnin | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fashionably Fast | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dawood | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Route Six Six | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Justin’s Quest | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Aced | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Caribbean (AUS) | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Holly Blame | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Persuasive Cat | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Montmartre | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Mesut | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Jungle Warfare | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | North County Guy | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Paddock Pick | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Quick Finish | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Count Alexander | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | War Chest | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Luke’s On Fire | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mantracker (IRE) | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Kate’s Princess | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Divine Dharma | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Diosa | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blew by You | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sass Machine | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Be Lifted Up | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz a Master | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tell Me More | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mongolian Window | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Super Patriot | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Katherine | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Blame Judy | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Screenshot | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Catoca | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tig Tog (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Believe Indeed | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dancing Belle | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Loud Mouth | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Blue Skye Jade | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Starring John Wain | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Handsome John | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mulzoff | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Calder Vale | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Jack’s Reign | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | C J My Boy | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Scrappy Deville | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Unleash the Tiger | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | M C Burkey | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Dual Account | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | John’s Intuition | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bob’s Sniper | 50.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.