December 31, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Polarization | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prettyasnewmoney | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Notable Game | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Zoraya | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Letmeslidebyyou | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tac Up | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sadie’s Magic | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dancingwithpaynter | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Congratstomywife | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Manhattan Lady | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Arbutus | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Walela | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jah Grace | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Estrella Grande | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kukulkan | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | No Hitter | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Arrive in Style | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Throw the Fade | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Bourbon Streak | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bullets Child | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Chase the Night | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Sofranko | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Blame the Kids | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jefazo | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tattooed | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dynamic Asset | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Special Intention | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sparty | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Done Acting | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Taxable Goods | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Trapper’s Delight | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swing Step | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tapitontheside | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chinquapin | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Pro Riot | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stay On Point | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vineyard Harbour | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lay It On | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Freedom Storm | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eighty Bucks | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Captain Trips | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Icantrumpthat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Kimberly B. | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Shanghai Bonnie | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | End Result | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Strella’s War | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pink Pearl | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Reigning Fire | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Umightbeanempress | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Las Setas | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jump for Sally | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Swing | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Palm Reader | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | I’ll Take the Cake | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Bells Irish Fancy | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | What What What | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baccarat Fashion | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run Wrightaway | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Turing Machine | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Resolana | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sunshine Gal | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Pearl Gem | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Roman Approval | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dazzling Okie | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prime Time Man | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stadium | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cort’n Asong | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Monkey’s Medal | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bob’s My Uncle | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10A | 10 | First Shot | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Maynooth | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Grand Oasis | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dumtadumtadum | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’slikethewind | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Yes Means No | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mike the Tiger | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kamehameha | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Relentless Lion | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Watchmeneighneigh | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.