December 31, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tied Up | 0.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Same Kinda Crazy | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Summer Punch | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cognac Cutie | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elizabeth Nicole | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bettor Bank On It | 1.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Captain Frost | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bank Gala | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Iron Fork | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kid Chocolate | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coolboy | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lemon Crush | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Shape Shifter | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Karen’s Gem | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Orchid Party | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Theodosia | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Twofer | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mazmania | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eight Minute Ellie | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jacqueline D | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tequila Sunday | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lolli | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiffany’s Vision | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Sky | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Flash of Silver | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Gallant Bid | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Chronos | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Eliav | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Village Prince | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Giant Sandy | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Deputy Zapper | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Running Violence | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Summer Squeeze | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Timely Tradition | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Cotton Candy Cutie | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Beyond Discreet | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Elegant Jem | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vip Nation | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | That’s Smart | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Jen | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Exceed the Goal | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Damon Runyon S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Not That Brady | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | La Fuerza | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Southern King | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beachside | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pipes | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Invaluable Will | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Taptaptap | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Grammi Dance | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Center City | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Craigville Beach | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Threatlovesmidnite | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mend Up | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Monaghan | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dusty Dan | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Barrel of Stout | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jet for Andy | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.