December 30, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Encumbered | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tigerbeach | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Raven Creek | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Move Over (GB) | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shadow Sphinx | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Artie B Good | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flip the Coin Jan | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bahamian | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kris’ Wild Kat | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zestful | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Impetu | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crazy Uncle Rick | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Secret Maneuver | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Time for Suzzie | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | At the Margin | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Portal Creek | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Carmelita | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Top Hat Tantrum | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Conquest Flatterme | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sly Humor | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Lady Ninja | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Sturdy One | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Shelby | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bragging Rights | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Copy Begone | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Blue Norther S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Colonial Creed | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Prancealot (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Courteous | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Giza Goddess | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Data Storm Kitty | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Splashy Kisses | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thriving (GB) | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cedars of Lebanon (IRE) | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Impression | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Super Duper Cooper | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gain Ground | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Elwood J | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Psychedelicat | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Odyssey Explorer | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ronton | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rhettbutler | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Free Belief | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Bizwhacks | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Emrata | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Anuket | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Moonrise | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Happy Tune | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Ava’s Union | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Twice Golden | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cherished | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Emotional Ride | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bartlett Hall | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Serve Me a Double | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Arno’s Mane Man | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | On the Right | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Captain N. Barron | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Conversate | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Santa Fe Blaze | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Doheny Beach | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Disco Cat | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jimmy the Bull | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cordiality | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tammy’s Window | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pulpit Rider | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | English Dancer | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lemoona | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cheekaboo | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lightning Dove | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | One Fast Broad | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ippodamia’s Girl | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jazaalah | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Amuse | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spend Spend Spend | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dulce Ride | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zusha | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uppercut | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oozle | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Family Girl | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Media Tone | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Exuberance | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Todos Santos | 50.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Acadia Fleet | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Apache Princess | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gallantlystreaming (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Harmless | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gemagine | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mind for Mischief | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Posit | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Unicorn | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Haughty Girl | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Twinkle Dream | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kittyhawk Lass | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.