December 30, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Abraxan | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stonesintheroad | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alphardini | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ja’s Malibu | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Becca Takes Charge | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2A | 2 | Queen Kantharos | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Countable | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5A | 5 | Trinni Sunset | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Zap Zap Zap | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Borsa Vento | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nobody Move | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Haul Anchor | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Clowney | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peculiar Sensation | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kenyan | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Bank Gala | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Seven Is Heaven | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Scotty Brown | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Woodbury | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Pier Forty | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Klickitat | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Bebe Banker | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Make Motime | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Scarf It Down | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Deep Sea | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4A | 3 | Doyouknowsomething | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Full Salute | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Happy Farm | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Poshsky | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lazarus Project | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Quietude | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Honey I’m Good | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Malibu Mischief | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | Ma Meatloaf | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Movie Score | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Waving Flags | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Brass Ring | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Went With the Wind | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ruvies in Time | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Emblazoner | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Questeq | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Summer Punch | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Proportionality | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Athwaaq | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Puparee | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Honey Graeme | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Bay Ridge S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Out of Orbit | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bonita Bianca | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frostie Anne | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Split Time | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unbridledadventure | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Hayne No Gayne | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pride of Saratoga | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pink Twist | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Held Accountable | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hot Sriracha | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Mesa | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Back of the Watch | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Call the Cat | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flat Out Jayvien | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Suremoney | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ridolfo | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Over Salty | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.