December 29, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Maxim Rate | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Hello Bubbles | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mercy Mercy | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fashion Island | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Sweet Baboo | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stylin Ocean | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Truffalino | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Out of Balance | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Speedette | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Facts Matter | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blame Joe | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Celebrate Life | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Caiifornia Clone | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Patrick | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Optimum | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | June Two Four | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rolls Royce Deal | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | The Pet | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Twirling Diamond | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sierra Sunrise | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Naomi Fraley | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Meritocracy | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Athleisure | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | A Dime for Me | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miss Boisterous | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Starship Sky | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Comegowithme | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ron’s Cat | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Jellybeankristine | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Princess Lili B | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Robert J. Frankel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Escape Clause | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fahan Mura | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucy De | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Charity (FR) | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quebec | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Excellent Sunset (IRE) | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gliding By | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Amboseli | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Papa Turf | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boy Howdy | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whiskey Ginger | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Will Tell | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Matriculate | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Monterey Shale | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tomasino | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Neighborhood Bully | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saratoga Morning | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Treasure Hunter | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Heart Awakens | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Madarnas | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | George From Tahoe | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oh Man | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | J T’s A. T. M. | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | C R Bullitt | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Royal Aspirations | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Thin Line | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Shake N Fries | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Do Something Easy | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Silent Alarm | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Tanker | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Violent Behavior | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Bachchan | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Redrock Trail | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Gleyber | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Samurai Jack | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Anvil Rock | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Bull Fighter | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – American Oaks S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kodiak West (IRE) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Amandine (GB) | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Paved | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Colonia (FR) | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Californiagoldrush | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Princess Warrior | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | K P Pergoliscious (IRE) | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Competitionofideas | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Retro | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | I Belong to Becky | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Damiano | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mayan Warrior | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Macwinnon | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Oracle of Omaha | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kid Cantina | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Runningwscissors | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mad Mike | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Coldwater | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Storming Lady | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Strengthinnumbers | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beyond Pleasure | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baladera | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Madaket Sunset | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Breezy Bee | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Weather Market | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fuega | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Etching | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cat’s Desire | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grey Tsunami | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.