December 29, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Entree | 0.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Angelo’s Corner | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brazen Prince | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mid Day Image | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Morris Island | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Knight Frost | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Wish | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Proud Zip | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Freud | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oneballnostrikes | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Professor Snape | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thirsty Donnerstag | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Becker’s Galaxy | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Frederica | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 1 | Irish Glitter | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Discount Diva | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Catania Rose | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Saratoga Sass | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Saturdaynightfling | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Youth Gone Wild | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4A | 3 | Ziggy Is Zubby | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Our Marikka | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Princess Alana | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Call Me | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maimo | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thank You So Much | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Thicket | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | River of Dreams | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fun Prospect | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Alisio | 1.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Solent | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Enjoyitwhilewecan | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Canarsie Girl | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Effiemeister | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jasminesque | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | G. T. Sonia | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – East View S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Maiden Beauty | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sassy Agnes | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shelley Ann | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Espresso Shot | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forever Changed | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Take Me to Hardoon | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Elegant Zip | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Alana | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Song | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Lem Me Have It | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Three Birds | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miss Mimosa | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jump Ruler | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Indy Union | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | D J’s Favorite | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Peaches and Spice | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tale of Promise | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Alex M. Robb S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hit It Once More | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Caledonian | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Buff | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Winston’s Chance | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twisted Tom | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Control Group | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Testosterstone | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Black Tide | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Santanoni | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Quintarelli | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dublin Leprechaun | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Flat Out Jayvien | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | The Mason Factor | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | There He Goes | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eddie Boy | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Cross Multiply | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Causforcelebration | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Shook Em Up | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blessed Honour | 50.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Soup Baby | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Noble Behavior | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.