December 22, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sambucca | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tackett | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Indeed | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Owendale | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spectacular Gem | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Homefortheweekend | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vangilder | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Bella Falaya | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Girlfriend Rocket | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Inthemidstofbiz | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | City Candy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Dreams Are Made | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Be Nimble | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Cypress Point | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marathon Queen | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Majestic Rose | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lovely Flash | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | True to Jeanine | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Rumandice | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Freudian Finish | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Grandezza | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Locura | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Marvella | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Bonapaw S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Switzerland | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Wynn Time | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kid Perfect | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kitten’s Cat | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Balandeen | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Latent Revenge | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Win Lion Win | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fort Fortitude | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Savage Battle | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gun It | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Equivocal | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Ballyhack | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | By My Standards | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rocknroll Rocket | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Twelfth Labour | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | A Man Called Boady | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grove Daddy | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moon Launch | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 11 | Courtyard | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Cade’s On the Bump | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | One for Richie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Solomonic | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Tiger | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Malpais | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Johnny Wishbone | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cohete Rojo | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Benny | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fairway Magic | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Driver Dan | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hero of the Future | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Strong Arm | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rum Bobby | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eat the Ticket | 50.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Zeke | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Morning Stride | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Heavy Roller | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Aktabantay (GB) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Zumurudee | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cape Angel | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Son of a Saint | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Vigilante | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Compass Zone | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Heaven Is Waiting | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dragon Drew | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tigers Rule | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Honovi | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | All Right | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Kitten’s Boy | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Zinger | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Letellier Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Eskendar | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Kajawa | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bell’s the One | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Lady T N T | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smila’ssenseofsnow | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Q Go Girl | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Adventurous Lady | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Idle Hour | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Unholy Alliance | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Istan Council | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Blushing K. D. S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | I’m Betty G | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prado’s Sweet Ride | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Take These Chains (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beau Recall (IRE) | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vagabond Princess | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Superioritycomplex (IRE) | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dubara (GB) | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nineteenth Street | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Full of Zip | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Tenacious S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pioneer Spirit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Westfest | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Nun the Less | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Colonelsdarktemper | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Tom’s d’Etat | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Snapper Sinclair | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Phat Man | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Thirstforlife | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Cooptado (ARG) | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Buddy Diliberto Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pioneer Spirit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Big Changes | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Great Wide Open (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Oscar Nominated | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Dudley Digges | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Memory Bank | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Team Colors | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Twenty Four Seven | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Teodoro (IRE) | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Sugar Bowl S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sambucca | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Hog Creek Hustle | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Super Steed | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cajun Firecracker | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gray Attempt | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Manny Wah | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uncapped | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sovereign Impact | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Assemblyman | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dictator | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Royal Medallion | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Out Beautiful | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chase the Ghost | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rotation | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eskenforit | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Locally Owned | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kairos | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jemography | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Quicksilver | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Flatster | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Ace Destroyer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Fist of Rage | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cornacchia | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Comedian | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frank’sgunisloaded | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miltontown | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Mike | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bandit Swanson | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Just Revenge | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Gambler | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Kasilof | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Luna’s in Charge | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Free Speech | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 14 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Miss You Jo | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Legal Holiday | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ty C | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | I Don’t Fly Coach | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Real Time | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jonamin | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Delta Eighty Eight | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seaside Sergeant | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Last Flash | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grand Argument | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mikey’s Mouse | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Izzy B Winn | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.