December 21, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Distinctive Ride | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Federal Walk | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Whirlin Curlin | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miami Tiger | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Menacing | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sandy Lane | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Johnny Action | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kierland | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Broad Expanse | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lady Terp | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Follow the Petals | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pretty Enuff | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Truly Hot | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bodega Bay | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | So Innocent | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sarah’s Treasure | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Off My Stage | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3A | 3 | Le Weekend | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clairvoyant Lady | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Trusty Roll | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ghoul’s Night Out | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bustin Hearts | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Souper Echo | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bye Bye Blues | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rule Yourself | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Smokin Hot Factor | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hero’s Hope | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | I’ve Gotta Plan | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | The Walk | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Praise the Moon | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bay Hill | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Third Son | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jericho Marsh | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Donna’s Delight | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Agitate | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Spooky Tooth | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hey Mabel | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gran Aventura | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | War Tweet | 1.20 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Welly | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stand Over Me | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jacobella | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Buddha Kai | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Mo’s Affair | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Iam a Dancer | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Old Line Malibu | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 15 | 13 | Racing Lightning | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Love That Fountain | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ore Pass | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Ride This Train | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ingadore | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Greek God | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Accusing | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hirschbein | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Banner Bill | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tequila Hero | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lon’s True Passion | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Howyaformoney | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Rain On The Dune (GB) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | War of the States | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Atlantic Avenue | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Weekend Delight | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spring Run | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stated | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lemon Drop Kitty | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Goldmakesmesmile | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Poseidon’s Bluff | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bratt Stack | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Miss Tom Tom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Cora and Jas | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Rosuri | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dinner Baby | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Allison K | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Yesterdaysplan | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Weekend Flyer | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | River Sonata | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Silver Sides | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Sunday Red | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Tuffy’s Way | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Alin Azul | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dialin | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | On the Hop | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Katie’s Reward | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Shipmans Magic | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Joyful Noise | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Rockin Ruth | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Doit for Spite | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Stevie the Cat | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Musabaqa | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Cherokee Fire | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.