December 20, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Raise Em Up | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Supernumerary | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Causeur | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Totality | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lascivious | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Neverquitdreaming | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sky Entry | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Atalanta Belle | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Curlin’s Prize | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Summer Lovin | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Smittys Eyecandy | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sarahcain | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Hallowed Lassie | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Speak Briley | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Holy Sunrise | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Major Ridge | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ricky Dale | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Leap Baby Leap | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Roses n’ Rubies | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | No More for U | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jacobs Flyer | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Reflected | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Soul Planet | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Know What I Mina | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Skip and a Hop | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Flatoutandfoxy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Play On | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Slimey | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Savvy Ally | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Spice It Up | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Include Edition | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Dreaming Diamonds | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tonnerre | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mardi Gras Mask | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Exchange Gold | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Star Yankee | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jalen Hurts | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Nearis | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | C’Mon Ve | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Starving Artist | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tudox Lifting Off | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Scarlet Flutter | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Majestic Mist | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Persephone’s Dawn | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Golden Days | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Our Valor | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Another Level | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Decant | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Dance Rhythms | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Salt Bae | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Game Time Decision | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Whole Scoop | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Triple Malt | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Storm Stride | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | My Girl Rocket | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Elle’s Town | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Matapan | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweetest Appeal | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dora Maar | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hatchet Lady | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hard Trier | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Vegan Goes Best | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tschudi’s Girl | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dynamite Daughters | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lady Blue | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Squibnocket | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Alizee | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Beautiful Ballad | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Sacred Lady | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Darling Vera | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Bonita Bay | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Singita Dreams | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Gamblin Train | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Freedom Passage | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Complete | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | As the Snow Flies | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Gizmo | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Special for You | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Up With a Twist | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Seaside Dancer | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 7 | Ravenel | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | Change of Control | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jericho | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Santa Americana | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Handiwork | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Kind of Crazy | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Curzon Street | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sly Tom | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moon Over Cuzco | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rollwithit | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mister Frenchie | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.