December 20, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Playinwiththeboys | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Estilo Femenino | 1.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hailey’s Flip | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tanya’s Gem | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Short Kakes | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Iona Mobe | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Franknjymme | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miracle Hill | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hero’s Welcome | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smidge | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Into a Hot Spot | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Justinspeightofit | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Missle Bomb | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fuel the Bern | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Consensus Thinking | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gnarly | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fox Red | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Power | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crea’s Bklyn Law | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Local Counsel | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Discreet Mission | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Foolish Ghost | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ro Bear | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carthon | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | New York Hero | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beach Access | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Slick | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Classic Romeo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Erlich | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Motagally | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moretti | 1.40 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Will Dancer | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lisbon | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Southern Phantom | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stilts | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bridgetothefuture | 50.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Naples Legacy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Free Kitty | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Exceed the Goal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Smiles From Sadie | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9A | 6 | My Girl Annie | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mo Flash | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5A | 4 | Vip Nation | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Adorable Song | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Daria’s Angel | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Three to Thirteen | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hokulea | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Thicket | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dynamax Prime | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Playthatfunnymusic | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lion Sleeps | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Phone Funky Munky | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kerry Boy | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Steelersfanforlife | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Resolutionary | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | D’ambrosio | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Proximate to Power | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Leap to Glory | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Curlin Creek | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Thefinalcrazydude | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Unsullied | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Laura’s Posse | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bigsouljoel | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Latin Love Bug | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.