December 16, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | D’wild Irish Rose | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Khaleesi’s Gift | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Can’t Count That | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Paper Doll | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sabe Marcelete | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stellar Magic | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fuhr a Slam | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sweet Madalyna | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Dahik | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 11 | Absolut Neworleans | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Handsome Harve | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Tapit City | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fast Boat | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Blowin Smoke | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Mr Haney | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bigb’s Anniversary | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | General Basil Duke | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Murry Spur | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | French Command | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Harkins Hall | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jerrys Pridenjoy | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ganso Galopante | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Warriors Gem | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | West Texas | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lauriano | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beyond the Arch | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Knocks Big Thirst | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shae’s Day | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Whiskey’s Gone | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Joemo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Luck of the Draw | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Musical Man | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mister Intuition | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Typhoon Tycoon | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mayhaw Jelly | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Step to the Bar | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Atlantic Ruler | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Cool Individual | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Galiamo | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cajun Pinata | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cha Mono | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Vapor Viper | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Paddy’s Notes | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wildwood Dejavu | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Flatter the Queen | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Blue Wings | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Citali | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Cadet Captain | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Senator Robert | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Parisian Stroll | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Marquee Moment | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Unexpected Visit | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Coco Honey | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Stumberg | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Heavens Whisper | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glance | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Untruthful Sonnet | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Estrela Cadente | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shook | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dhafeera (GB) | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Booneville Chapel | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | K P Anna | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz Cecile | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Affaire Secrete | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Spanish Angel | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Catkins | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 7 | Ruby Sioux | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 4 | Its a Journey | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Broome | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Shea’s Cool | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Diamond Tap | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Sun Studio | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Roar of the Lion | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Artie’s Rumor | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Belomor | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Killeen | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miracle Mountain | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Round Hill | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Delaware Basin | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Opportunity Cost | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Operator | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Workingforaliving | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wildscore | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stay On Base | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Whoz Talkin Now | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Logan’s Reward | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Rapidash | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Players Gonna Play | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Eights Wild | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gone Lucky | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | E Lee | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Il Est Vite | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.