December 15, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Forester’s Destiny | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Second Street | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nevaeh’s Valentine | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gray Phantom | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ransack | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ault | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Guitar George | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Spirit of York | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Oasis | 0.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cool Gizmo | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Soul n’ Spirit | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Triglav | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Je Suis Charlie | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flashy Trial | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Heydon’s Case | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Decisionsdecisions | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Where’s the Gold | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rock You | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Selling Out | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Speeding Bullet | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bel Ayr Bay | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jurojin | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Allied Instigator | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Asset | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Cummings Road | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sniper | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Love That Lute | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Daylight Breeze | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Colleen’s Sailor | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Atypical | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Red At Last | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kitten’s Solution | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wage Acceleration | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grom | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pat Daddy | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mister Nada | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Princess Fabiana | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Samurai Queen | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A Broken Breeze | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Descente | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lionessa | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Calais Cat | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Muskoka Lady | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fine Lady | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stokes | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Take Chargechristy | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Trickeration | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Never Sober | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pink Scribbles | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carmen Is My Name | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Court Surprise | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Court Return | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Diamond Brew | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Echo in the Forest | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Will Be Great | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Broadcasting | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mislight | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Red Riot | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Potra Liza | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Power Empire (JPN) | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | World Riot | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boogie With Me | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carolina Grace | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Jack’s Memory | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Red Rita | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Dirty Girl | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Macho Bourbon | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fact Checking | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ananova | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Josephine | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mine Fast Philly | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | D’s Benefaction | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hidden N Classy | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Best Dressed | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cheetahra | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bold n’ Foxy | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Wuk Up Queen | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Celtic Ring | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Find the Cat | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | She’s the Berries | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dreams Are Free | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Superduper Sky | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Cash | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bella Figura | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mystic Nile | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stop Who’s That | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Sidney | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Green Doctor | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Gwendoline H | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Veaisha | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Midnight Brew | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dilly Dally Darby | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hailey’s Prize | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hockey Hair | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Giovanna Ponti | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miss Forester | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coca Inn | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cool Catomine | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Josie’s Riddle | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Conquest Eliminatr | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crumlin Night | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Epilogue | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prison Padre | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Chill | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Canada Wise Don | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hythe | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Leo the Rabbit | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ox Trot | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Wardo | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.