December 15, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Country Squire | 1.20 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Offender | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alex’s Fast Lane | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | De Punta a Punta | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Purrs Again | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Border Agent | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Know What Im Sayin | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carpenter | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Aimed | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Guaranteed | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Mambo At the Gym | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Uncle Woodrow | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Nice Surprise | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Vibe | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Marriage Fever | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Final Blessing | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Promise Illgetyou | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Snowfly | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Courtage | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Slam Chowder | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roman Reign | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zafiro Azul | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gadwall | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lagrats | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Anna May Our Queen | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | Chorite | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 5 | She’s Running Free | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tin N Lint | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Blaze Star | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Doc Mo’s Daughter | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Girl Powder | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She Loves Leather | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Patty Mac’s Girl | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cruisewithbrandon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Imperial Lady | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mercy | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Lu | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Anissa | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Island Getaway | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Stash | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Trapps Star | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gemodixie | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Butterfly Rose | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Quai Voltaire | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Peculiar Sensation | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Grateful Cause | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Under the Graydar | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Brio Man | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Drummer Don | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Strong Breeze | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Tempestuous Angel | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | One More Round | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | He’s Cotton | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Adumato | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 7 | Street Tail | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Texas Two Step | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Buzzkillington | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Supreme Justice | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Chelios | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Imasuperstar | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Fara’s Kid | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Ruble | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ranger Lady | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | No Picnic | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Your Pace Or Mine | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bertranda | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Doctorsofmischief | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Afleet Tizzy | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Teufles and Roses | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Girls and Guns | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Bobby’s Song | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Animalistic | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Haley’s Thunder | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Timely Pleasure | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I Cried a Tear | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Valiant Spirit | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tizzy Dancer | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rory P. | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga Angel | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Argumentative | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | High Math | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.