December 15, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Caneel Bay | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Hitter | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kukulkan | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Petion Night | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Can He Shine | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Streak | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Watchmeneighneigh | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Aspect | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Amino | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mount Travers | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Confessor | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beyond the Victory | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Offerhecantrefuse | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Champagneonme | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Prayforacure | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Icy Lady | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5A | 4 | Swirrlie Shirlie | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hail the Queen | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tri Poker | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rossby | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Call Me Jelly Roll | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8A | 7 | Caterina One | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Starr Designer | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dixie Do Good | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Poke the Cat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | I’ve Gotta Plan | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Divine Interventio | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Ten Hut | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Joy Drive | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Lion Lord | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Royal Crusader | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | City Gold | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Choice Prospect | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Nobody’s Angel | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Miss Steffi | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Gloria’s Gal | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Slewzer | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Queen to Checkmate | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | La Zoraya | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Bourbonstreetlady | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Given Achance | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Gingeresk | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Notable Game | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tac Up | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fuego in the Bank | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sadie’s Magic | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Prettyasnewmoney | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Miss Tom Tom | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Two Way Road | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jagger Baby | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Artful Splatter | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | But He’s a Beast | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sharp | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Queens Or Better | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kateandlillian | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Thirsty Again | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mucha Flamenca | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Top Prospect | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Hosway | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Pleiadian | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Rare Candy | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rumblin Kyle | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Definitely Tonight | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mid Ocean | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | C B Bodemester | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Colonel Andy | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Plenty Elusive | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Turbin | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Greek God | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cause He’s Western | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chief Tarhe | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Stipa | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rocky the Kid | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nightmare | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Superstar Diva | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Angelinas Star | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Street Passion | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Simonela | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Two Carat | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cisco Bay | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ginger in Disguise | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.