December 15, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Catlab | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Youve Got a Friend | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Run Bayou Bird | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Smitty | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Fist Full | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Slideruler | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ide B a Classic | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Boston Bob | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Whoajoey | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jazz It Up | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ipurrfurcandy | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fair Shot | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vicksburg | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Buddy Rocket | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smithwick | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Famous Pen Pal | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Felipe | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sambucca | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Vivid Verse | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Deano | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | All American Hero | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | B W P Express | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Giant Mesa | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tom’s Last General | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mine Inspector | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wakefield | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dictator | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tommy C Me | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Survey | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Drummond | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Off Sixes | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Grandgran | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Pippin | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Shea’s Cool | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Ruby Sioux | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | C Islandsurprise | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Go Google Yourself | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Psalmody | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coachwhip | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | May Lily | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hanalei Moon | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | More Fun Again | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jet Away Sue | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roussalka | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gris Gris | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Secret House | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Silver Dust | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mighty Manfred | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Private Party | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Higher Power | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Casses Story | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Archanova | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Big Gemmy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Making a Marc | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Little John W | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Arrival | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King of Candy | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Thunder Mesa | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | It’s Fate | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Create Again | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Long On Luck | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Combustible | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Prolific | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Highway Song | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Armament | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 10 | Boyfriend Material | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 4 | Omega Moon | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rubus | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Soul of Discretion | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hunker Down | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Union Cat | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Fu | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kitten Street | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Match Play | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Trappezoid | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Kingsville | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Alittlevodka | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Curlins Pride | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Tea Time | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mr Darcy | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Jailhouse Kitten | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Herecomesyourman | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Harlan Selection (ARG) | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Take That for Data | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Overnight Success | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Reverend Aj | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ecru | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gettysburg | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Harbor Pilot | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bankers Honour | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Andthebandplayedon | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Monarchos Prayer | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swifty Cat | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stella’s Surprise | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | D’wild Baroness | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Nana’s Joy | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Belacqua | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kehron’s Creed | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Miss Brenda | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.