December 15, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 10 | Friendly and Kind | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Wildcat Beauty | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 4 | Quiet Flattering | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | She’s a Queen | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | April Sugar | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sassy Pants Susie | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sassy Mallory | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Suckerforagrey | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tiz the Time | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Diamond Thief | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sunnyonastormyday | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Monsieur Brown | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heaven’s Hideaway | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cachito | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Choose No More | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roaring Star Fire | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uncle Herbie | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Liam Skye | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fleet Run | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Star of Ruston | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Alluring Actor | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | A P’s Winner | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Smooth Man | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Village | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Chasing a Saint | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Captain’s Song | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Whooz the King | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chase for the Gold | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Careless Whisper | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Data Girl | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unveil | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rina Good | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Purely Blessed | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Classy and Rich | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seveneightnine | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Abama Light | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Zartastic | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kingdom Way | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ten Brownies | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Looking for Bull | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Amante | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Solid Red | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Taybo Nation | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Custom Chrome | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | She’s a Smart Cat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Winnie the Roo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Wise Woman | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gio Point | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Shot | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Byanymeans | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sparkling Red Jet | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Becca’s Diamond | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Outoftheballpark | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | High Def Ridge | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | The Thrill Is On | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Andrews Speedracer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Derwin’s Miner | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Azaruk | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Beaubouef | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Old Pep N Step | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ruff House | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Gato Caliente | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Successful Shot | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tanq On the Rocks | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jaded Rose | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Thegoodwitch | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Facets of Ice | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wrap It Up | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Castle Zip | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sammie’s Touch | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Red Fern Doll | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Doc’s Rocket | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | My Cowgirl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Arctic Peace | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Acadian Driftwood | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Honest Tina | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Echoesoftime | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ourgoldshalaylee | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | De Last Dance | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Departed | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Crider City | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Silver Siren | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miss Ready Cat | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sarah Ann’s Pointe | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Jazz Driver | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Mary’s Guilt Trip | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Galaxy Girl | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Island Blue | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.