Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 15, 2018

December 15, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Benina 20.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Got the Gist 3.50 2.3 4-1
7 6 Dynamite Kitten 3.00 2.6 5-1
8 7 Promise Me Roses 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Union Patriot 12.00 5 10-1
10 9 Youmakemeblush 4.50 5.6 11-1
11 10 Crater Rim 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 3 Big Expense 15.00 5.8 11-1
6 5 Needs No Ice 10.00 7.1 13-1
5 4 Causin’ Trouble 20.00 7.7 14-1
3 2 Frosty Linz 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 No Distortion 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Indian Guide 3.50 2.7 5-1
8 7 Its All Relevant 2.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Daddy D T 3.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Oneballnostrikes 5.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Borsa Vento 20.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Zabaione 6.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Eden Ridge 15.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – New York Stallion Series S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sassy Agnes 1.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Forgotten Hero 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Cartwheelin Lulu 2.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Party Like Grandma 8.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 She’s So Shea D 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 L. A. Page 15.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Mend Up 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Bret’s Legacy 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Oh K Funnybone 3.50 3.6 7-1
10 10 Marble Moon 4.50 4 7-1
8 8 Rouxhere 10.00 4 8-1
11 11 Taptaptap 12.00 6 11-1
9 9 Giant Sandy 12.00 6.6 12-1
12 12 Everything Pazible 8.00 7 13-1
2 2 Inflection 12.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Sir Peanut 20.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Craigville Beach 20.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Letzgometz 15.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Knight Frost 30.00 9.8 18-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Anne Dupree 4.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Lemon Crush 10.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Votre Coeur 3.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 New Year’s Wish 2.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Trouble for Skylar 10.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Parlapiano 4.00 5 9-1
2 2 Forever Daisy 12.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Tayler’s the Boss 15.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Jake Rocks 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Mine the Coin 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Haikal 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 American Mandate 4.50 4.2 8-1
9 8 Pickle Rick 5.00 5 9-1
1 1 Loverboy Lou 15.00 5.7 11-1
10 9 Punchline 8.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Ari’s Naughty Luca 12.00 6.2 12-1
7 6 Munny Thief 12.00 6.3 12-1
8 7 Spun to Run 12.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Gypsum Johnny 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Benevolence 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Candid Desire 3.50 2.5 5-1
9 8 Morning Breez 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Syndergaard 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Arthur’s Hope 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Sicilia Mike 12.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Freud’s Affair 12.00 6 11-1
1 1 Wicked Macho 30.00 6.1 12-1
11 9 Speightful Kitten 15.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Heavy Meddle 20.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bon Raison 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Dream Friend 30.00 SCRATCH
7 5 Have Another 3.50 2.7 5-1
4 2 Cerretalto 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 1 Royal Asset 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 3 Honor Up 6.00 4.6 9-1
9 7 Allured 5.00 4.7 9-1
11 9 Aveenu Malcainu 6.00 5.5 10-1
8 6 Under a Spell 20.00 6.4 12-1
10 8 Barahin 8.00 6.4 12-1
6 4 Go Get the Munny 30.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Halloween Horror 4.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Rockford 4.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Avast Matey 3.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Tiz a Chance 8.00 4.3 8-1
10 9 T Loves a Fight 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 Real Creel 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 5 King Kranz 12.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Readyheartandsoul 10.00 5.8 11-1
11 10 Dancetrack 15.00 5.9 11-1
9 8 Samadi Sky 15.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 For Pops 20.00 8.5 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.