December 14, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | M C Squared | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Cha Mono | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Aubenas (FR) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Paddy’s Notes | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Fleetway | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 7 | T’ Cadeau | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Anytime Anyplace | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Halfflatt | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 1 | Riv | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Posse Dreamin | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 4 | About Our Time | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 3 | Concho | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Call the Colonel | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maddy’s Pro | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Marais | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lead Astray | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flat Out Fast | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Satellite | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ed’s Rocket | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gator Vindication | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kenai Cool | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cimarron | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gavins Little Sis | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twins Plus a Dot | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vortices | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oxbowindy | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cooler Schedule | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | No Boundaries | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Dr. Baskin | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Go for Moonshine | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Dahik | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Arch of Ages | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Nate’s Attack | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Stuck in Vegas | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Shared Value | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Murry Spur | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tapit City | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Marco Mischief | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Guitar King | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Mucho Macho Bets | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Great Sky | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 3 | Foldover | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 4 | Abominable Snowman | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Perfectly Precious | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tart N Sassy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Ruthless Child | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Altered Dream | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Fiesta Moon | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Humorous Kitten | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Rachael Got Even | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Curlabella | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Soco Unbridled | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | Hero of the Hour | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Carbonated | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Chop Chop Charlie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Non Regrette | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | English Ransom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 12 | Sailing Solo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Antarctic | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kaliningrad | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Cheytac | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Apollo’s Leap | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Civil | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Never Even Called | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Assay | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Queeten | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Masterly | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Where Y’at Joe Joe | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Farewell Time | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Swinging Greeley | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Aw Shucks | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Born Again George | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | John’s Luck | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | State Treasurer | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Secret House | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Chicago Blues | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Chocolate Ride | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Monster Bea | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Peej | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Turbo Street (AUS) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Plug Catcher | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Long On Luck | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Senor Blanco | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Italian Charm | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 3 | Chip Leader | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 2 | Mr. Gary D | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 4 | Got Gold | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Elektracutioner | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Wind | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Electric Kiss | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just Cruising | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Annie Had a Baby | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dixieland Flash | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miso Smooth | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bizzarrini | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Salute My Lady | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.