December 12, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Village |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Toga |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Oliver’s Prayer |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Golden Argument |
3.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Max Our Man |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
I Promised Youhuff |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Zarb’s Pistol |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
A. P.’s Prince |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
My Dad Louie |
5.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Whistling Teton |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Truly the One |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Monie’s Man |
30.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Hold Me Black |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Imma Bling |
2.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
O’L Red |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Zoot Suit |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Outofthisgalaxy |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bending Saint |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Azuralee |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
French Roast |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Shezaone |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
She’s Ours |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
8 |
Zarb’s Winnie |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Honest Smile |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
7 |
Inseparable |
3.50 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bulletsandbourbon |
30.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lady King |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
6 |
Junes’s Choice |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1A |
11 |
Sizzle Factor |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Late Appointment |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Miss Moronette |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
4 |
War Spirit |
1.80 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
Skipadee Due Da |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
1 |
Promise Tender |
10.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Victory Seeker |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Brilliant Notes |
4.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
2 |
Ringneckdove |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
Emma’s Gift |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
3 |
Favorite Promise |
30.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Miracle Master |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Patriot Father |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Smart Prospector |
3.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Philly |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Doodee |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sparky Top |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gary |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Etbauer’s Ide |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Won Again |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Mystorynmstikntoit |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cap Rock Miner |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Greeley’s Dealer |
1.60 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Super Stroke |
30.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Baires Boy |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hook |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
B Brazin |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Erik the Red |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Left Coast Dreams |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
One King Cat |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Angel Cat |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Laura’s Pick |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Karslyn |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mrs. McGillicuddy |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sweet Silver |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Pal Em |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sawyers Gray Girl |
5.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Active Girl |
3.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Star Formula |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Little Tator Tot |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Agirlnamedsyd |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Glory Be True |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
That’s D ‘cat |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Whatdatpay Ray |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Noisey Boy |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Exton |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Drewmisterio |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dry Wood Creek |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Final Argument |
3.50 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gueydan |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Zacksgotthis |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sharp Machete |
15.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Flying South |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Devil’s Pay |
12.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Dance for Joy |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Malibu Moira |
1.80 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Given Grace |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
1 |
Secret Joy |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Supersport Sally |
2.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
2 |
Stream |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Peach’s Swan Song |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Mary’s Guilt Trip |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Sweet and Spicy |
3.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Our Lil Rascal |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kinky Kim |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Blue Suede Ransom |
3.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
One Tizzy Trick |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
She’sagoodtime |
4.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Clever More |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Heart of Soul |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Premier Song |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Smokey Rose |
30.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.