December 11, 2018 Portland Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Splendor Hope |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Curlew Slew |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Abraajeena |
1.40 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Come Find Me |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Astounding Abby |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Toppers Truth |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mariana Grace |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Cowboy Swagger |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Power of War |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Royal Knight |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Romeoinbluejeans |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Vintastic |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tiz a Grindstone |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Big Sky Treasure |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Solar Heat |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Flatter Cat |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Affluent Asset |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Classy Cove |
4.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Doubledeesonthetee |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dawson Who |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dee’s Luck |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Fast as Cash |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Crowded Way |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Champelina |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sassafrass |
4.50 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pepper Chrome |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Klosters (IRE) |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Edie Wiggins |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Secret Devotion |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Real Changes |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Shotgun Bandit |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tuff Talkin Texan |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lochness |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Quiet Professional |
4.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ziggy Car Dust |
8.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Colonial Front |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Glenwheresmymoney |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Softstar |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
My Son John |
2.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Atta Boy Dougie |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Mr. Tenacious |
3.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Studhammer |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Legal Victory |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sassy Moe |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Boldly True |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Some Storm Cat |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Thats No Bull |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Our Power Surge |
20.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Fashion Prospect |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Coco Loco |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
My Boy Rudy |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Member State (GB) |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Our Lucky Day |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jersey Red |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mystic Wood Force |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Fear of the Cat |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
California Flash |
12.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Kalakala |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
C J Terror |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Justa Gusta |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fifty Caliber |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Known Defense |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Assets Included |
2.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sir Gawain |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Magarita Man |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Ragtime Beat |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Live Piece |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pepper Sharp |
4.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Papawasarollnstone |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Toro John |
3.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Meggy’s Amazing |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Time to Fire |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mojolicious |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Forty Caliber |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Phantom Heat |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.