December 10, 2018 Portland Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Jacango |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
L Bar D Genuine Red |
2.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ez Frosty Morn |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ez Feisty Patriot |
3.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ambers Dixielandbash |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Excessive Jubilation |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
I Spot a Cartel |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Three Dashin Bye |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fierce Hawk |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Judges Magic Design |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ba Cash My Ticket |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hop Skip N A Cop |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Js Wildthing |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Js Royal 613 |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
El Guapo Enano |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Hes a Bugin |
2.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
L Bar D Bonnie Lee |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tybee Island |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Quattro Dude |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Aland |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hyho Travio |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Crown Me Pepper |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Js Whoisthefoolnow |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
She’s a Statement |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sheabazinga |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tillicum Grey |
1.20 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
True Statatement |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Smart Strip |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Pretalk |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Pegasus Champ |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Water Preacher |
3.50 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Nuhouse |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
8 |
Dusalut |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Ponyboys Brother |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hundredandoneproof |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Karen’s Sweetie |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
Jadey At the Bar |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Skipaway Tiz |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rosies Baby |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lizzy Lass |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hot Gem |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tizzy Dean |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gotothemax |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Pure Brightness |
4.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Alittle Bit Parker |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Relentless Rain |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pet Gold |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Ontheshadyside |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gross Misconduct |
2.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
North Pacific |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lil’ Quarter Chute |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Brenner |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
My Pal Sully |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Always Outnumberd |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bobbygenesjustice |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Kenai King |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
I’lbeamonkeysuncle |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Winninginfashion |
2.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dakota’s Tango |
2.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Romia |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Swiss Script |
3.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bella Fabiela |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gunny |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lucky Outcome |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Miss Show Stopper |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.