December 10, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ocean Court | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Our Juliet | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Love That Chick | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Desirous | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Kendyl Elizabeth | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Layla’s Voyage | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pastiche | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1A | 9 | Flippity Flop | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Soft Landing | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Georgia Bonnet | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Averyon | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | King’s House | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Pooch | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Butch Cassidy | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lookingforanewhome | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Recanted | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ok Now | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wild Man | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Tiz Super | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Roraima Dos | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 5 | Bon Heir | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Littlemissbusiness | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hide a Rose | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hy Rapid Lady | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Baltimore Beauty | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Superling | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mettemarlamelva | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Trappe Play | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | She’s Running Free | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Special Risk | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Atina Salsa | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Aggregator | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Savannah Roxanna | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Malandrina | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Comfortable Cat | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Honey | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Buck Snort | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ride On Faith | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Disruptor | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blame Us All | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | The Italian | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Drive On | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Storm Tales | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | P J’s Bad Boy | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Righteous | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | Bust Another | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Hey Jabber Jaw | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Credo | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tairneach | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baduke | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hammers Vision | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2X | 7 | Helloitsme | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Samurai Zip | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Will Munnings | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 9 | Luvinmeiseasy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 7 | Boyd Crowder | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Caniform | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ebo Strong | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Matter of Factor | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | D’yer Mak’er | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Capt. Grider | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Warrior Lake | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Clear Prosperity | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Saint Main Event | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smokinpaddylassie | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peach Alley | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Formal Class | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Aussie Mist | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ignite | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roll On Big Mama | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rapidez | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Grazen Honor | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Freemark | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blinding | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Buzz With Alex | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | C K Dexter Haven | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Son of Sanibel | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | D. S. Boyd | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smooth Don B | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Giant Rocks | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dead Broke | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.