December 9, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Light My Path | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Hassah (GB) | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Articulate | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Capucine | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pretty Two Faced | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Capture Your Heart | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Image of Lucy | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ethereal Miss | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Silent Jet | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Frog | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Downy Boy | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fahrenheit | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lafleur | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Andwhatdoeshedo | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Courting a Kiss | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kilkenny Prospect | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mambointheforest | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Carmenootz | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kaili’s Big Boy | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Negotiations | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Laser | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gasconade | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Letthebighossroll | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fullthrottle Kid | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | D’s Ben | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bayerd | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ted W | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Occasional View | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Slip Kid | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roxy’s Vision | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arthur’s Pass | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Silent Contempt | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ault | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Escondera | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Strut N Stomp | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Propensity | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Skywire | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Song for Artie | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Denmark | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cerrado | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gottoknowrightnow | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Last Sunrise | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Keon | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | True Dat | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Ontario Lassie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Scat’s Rose | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Western Curl | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Azalea | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hastalavistababy | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Artilena | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Notice Me | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crumlin Time | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moksgmol | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Honig | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Gee | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lapochka | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Who’s Got It | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Canmore | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Follow My Lead | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Macho Dancer | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Leonard’s Bay | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Remembermis | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Courtly Manner | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Coleyville | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red Bo | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zephan | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Valedictory S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Pumpkin Rumble | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Melmich | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | English Illusion | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vintage Matters | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seeking Albert | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A. A. Azula’s Arch | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bowsprit | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bangkok | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ethical Funds | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Scotty’s Model | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Bonnie | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Veil | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blurricane | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spring in the Wind | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sparkles’ Girl | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Explosion | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Savvy | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Spring Forward | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Road | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Red Sails | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ring for Essa | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | Sadie Irene | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Potra Liza | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Flashinthepants | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Stormy Vision | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Penny a Point | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Evil Woman | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unrivaled Soul | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Dubhe | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | I Have Feelings | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Slovenia | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | La Dolce Uno | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.