December 9, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Pat’s No Fool | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Her Royal Highness | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | End Result | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Havennow | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clara Allen | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Curlene | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boolean One | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Leroy’s Sweetypie | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Facts Don’t Matter | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bagels and Lox | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gateau St Honore | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Racing Lightning | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Justanarch | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Parched Ghost | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whenallelsefails | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fearless and Lucky | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Scarlet Tanager | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Rosie | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Egber | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Merry Maid | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tiz He the One | 0.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Even Thunder | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saratoga Jack | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Marengo Road | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Final Prospect | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flashy Kyem | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Knows | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Cross | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bizzy Boy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Danz a Rebel | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smile Bryan | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Going for Gold | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Egregious | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mandatory Payout | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Tbtwelve | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | War Lance | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kustaafu | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Meetatbdubs | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fetching Gold | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sovereign Ruler | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Forty Acres | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Monkey’s Medal | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Candy Asset | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maximian | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Done Acting | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Social Stranger | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Buddy | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stadium | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dattt Melody | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hurricane Bear | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Savvy Street | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chief of Staff | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Took Over | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | C. D. Jammin | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dr Bolt | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Key Mono | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tradfest | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Smart Royal T | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rest Assured | 50.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Paz the Wine | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Girl Drama | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dancingwithpaynter | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Gfour | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Petticoatsnpistols | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Missimard | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Walela | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sharon’s Thunder | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Lassie | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jah Grace | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Estrella Grande | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rumor Ridge | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Cilantro | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Miz Creed | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Firth | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Real Point | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hell of Afire | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Head for the Shore | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lady Vicki | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sugar Shack | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Animalistic | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Thalia’s Song | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Doit for Spite | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tizadoozi | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tidy Stripe | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Krantiguru | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Temple Sky | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Whimsical Delight | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hold That Kiss | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | She Be Sassy | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.