December 9, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Say Yes Again | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lagniappe | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rule Taylor Rule | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Preemptive | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kaydees in Town | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Snowball | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Weavemeawinr | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Creole Wildfire | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red La Rosa | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hannah Banana | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | L L L College Fund | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Much to Do | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Daylight Deelite | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Baby B Gone | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cats Beauty | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hopette | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Betty Grable Eyes | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Runaway Romance | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Trust in Diane | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smooth as Bourbon | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spanish Arch | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tizmyday | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Raven’s Rabbit (IRE) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Blessed Union | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Awesome Figure | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Good Business | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Samba Breeze | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hoptown Honey | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Golden Spur | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Calaveras | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Senorita Tapit | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | So Dramatic | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Squatchingwithlyss | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ice Ghost | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cry Like a Baby | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twirlingontheedge | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Overly Sweet | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Smiley Briley | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Leavem Britten | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Spartanburg | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dyso | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Toodaloo to You | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kool Aid Girl | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Katiebmeister | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Lurey An | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Coast of La | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gabby’s Half | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vanishing Image | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Wanna Snuggle | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Freda’s Smooth Air | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | How Sweet It Is | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Haynesfest | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Upset Brewing | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Alfresco | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Faith Healer | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Devilite | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Truth Goddess | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Temple City Terror | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ravenel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Gamblin Train | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | British Invader (GB) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Prado’s Encore | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Spider Dance | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seeking a Star | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Matt’s Honey | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Holly Molly Dolly | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tupelo Hon E | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Chainmail | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Farmavet | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Nerissa | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Ishtar | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 5 | M C Squared | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Ed’s Rocket | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | No Richie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Concho | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Swamp Ruler | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cordero (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sunny’s Rainbow | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Bar Ryder | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Sammy Wonder Stone | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Express Lane | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Chase the Bling | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Chief Envoy | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.