December 8, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
4 |
Miss Racey Bike |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
9 |
Backyard Boogie |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
7 |
Sprawling |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Journeyonthemove |
1.20 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
6 |
La Candelita |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
2 |
Abets Abet |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
4 |
Bella Lou |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
1 |
Angry Patty |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
5 |
I’m Thirsty |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
4 |
3 |
Slingshot |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
10 |
9 |
Hersisterisachub |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Controlled Fury |
1.80 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
No Drinking Rules |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Martini Kid |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Malibu At Midnight |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Josey Wales |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Shotmaster |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Prize Fight |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Vocab |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Our Bruce Edwin |
30.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Deerstalker |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Billyjeansmyboy |
0.40 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Purrs Again |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
King Victoria |
30.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
American Colossus |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Carpenter |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Saratoga Tommy |
30.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Let’s Blaze |
0.80 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Seth’s Law |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Successful Cure |
5.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
2 |
1 |
Wise Jude |
15.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
The Carlbrook Kid |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Gadago |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Lusty Dude |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Silver Assault |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Myakka River |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Flashonforty |
2.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Free for Nothing |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Tommy’s Top Cat |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Another Smarty |
30.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
Vinnyvinvincent |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
7 |
Beyond Honor |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
5 |
4 |
Rebel Vow |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Glass Bridge |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Chill Factor |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Southern Kisses |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Kook’s Kat |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Lucky Clemen |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Tu Exageres |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fleet Cruiser |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Nile Gold |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
9 |
8 |
Tempestuous Angel |
15.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Diva Drama |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
New Jersey |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
4 |
Don Vito’s Kitty |
1.60 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
3 |
Lady Banba |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Yellow Chick |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
5 |
Athenasway |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
10 |
8 |
Molly McGee |
8.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
4 |
2 |
Keepmyeyeontheboys |
30.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
6 |
Helotes |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
7 |
Diamond N Simon |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Shock Treatment |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Halite |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Jefazo |
1.40 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Mutawasem (IRE) |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Roanie |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
My Friend Frank |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Kowboy Kenny |
30.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
6 |
Infuriated |
30.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
9 |
8 |
Match the Pot |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Ask Chuck |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ninetyeightoctane |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Down With the King |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Triumphant Joy |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Offlee Cloudy |
2.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
One More Round |
3.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mr. Louis |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cottonall |
30.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
House of Friends |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Zartax |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.