December 8, 2018 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
K P’s Smokin |
1.80 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cee Sam’s Girl |
2.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Reinahermosa |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Swallows Inn Gal |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Greater Glory |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jewelof California |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Scouted |
1.80 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Spendaholic |
2.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Grandpa Louie |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mulzoff |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Loud Mouth |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Golden Image |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lieutenant Dan |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Blaze of Glory |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Gold and Guns |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Optimum |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
The Bull Mousse |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Captain N. Barron |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Violent Affair |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Irish Ballad |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Grand Minister |
8.00 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sharp Ruler |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Impeachment Ace |
30.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Silver Badge |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jimmy the Bull |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
P Town Titan |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
From the Distance |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Michael Mundo |
3.50 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Master Ruler |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Love Your Life |
4.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
9 |
8 |
Lucky Patrick |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Here Is Happy |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
5 |
Hollywood Sky |
10.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
8 |
7 |
Johann’s Command |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Los Alamitos Cash Call Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Improbable |
1.20 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mucho Gusto |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Extra Hope |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dueling |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
King of Speed |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Savagery |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Lucky Student |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Herunbridledpower |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gemini Journey |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Princess Kendra |
6.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Scathing |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Christy Jackson |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Atrevida |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
9 |
8 |
Hero for Hire |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
10 |
9 |
Asem |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Belligerent |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Starlet S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Chasing Yesterday |
1.80 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mother Mother |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Vibrance |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Oxy Lady |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Enaya Alrabb |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sold It |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Hard Fought |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Dia de Pago |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
3 |
Mercer Island |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
2 |
King Abner |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
7 |
Kylemore |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
12 |
10 |
Sheer Flattery |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Croatian |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
6 |
Goren |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
11 |
9 |
Incredible Luck |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
7 |
5 |
Upper Room |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
10 |
8 |
Appalachian Gem |
8.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
6 |
4 |
Violent Ridge |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Bartlett Hall |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Spend It |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bitter Ring Home |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Royal Rebel |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sterling’s Temple |
3.50 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Brahms Forest |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bryan Habana (ARG) |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Icouldonlyimagine |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Copper Coated |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
When Jesus Walked |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.