December 8, 2018 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 K P’s Smokin 1.80 2 4-1
3 3 Cee Sam’s Girl 2.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Reinahermosa 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Swallows Inn Gal 2.50 4 8-1
4 4 Greater Glory 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Jewelof California 20.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Scouted 1.80 1.9 4-1
7 7 Spendaholic 2.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Grandpa Louie 3.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Mulzoff 12.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Loud Mouth 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Golden Image 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Lieutenant Dan 12.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Blaze of Glory 2.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Gold and Guns 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Optimum 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 The Bull Mousse 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Captain N. Barron 4.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Violent Affair 4.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Irish Ballad 15.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Grand Minister 8.00 5.6 10-1
4 4 Sharp Ruler 12.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Impeachment Ace 30.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Silver Badge 20.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Jimmy the Bull 20.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 P Town Titan 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 From the Distance 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Michael Mundo 3.50 3.4 7-1
5 4 Master Ruler 3.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Love Your Life 4.00 4.5 8-1
9 8 Lucky Patrick 15.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Here Is Happy 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 5 Hollywood Sky 10.00 6.1 11-1
8 7 Johann’s Command 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Los Alamitos Cash Call Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Improbable 1.20 2.2 4-1
6 6 Mucho Gusto 3.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Extra Hope 3.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Dueling 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 King of Speed 15.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Savagery 8.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lucky Student 2.50 SCRATCH
6 5 Herunbridledpower 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Gemini Journey 4.00 3.8 7-1
8 7 Princess Kendra 6.00 4 7-1
4 4 Scathing 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Christy Jackson 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 Atrevida 15.00 5.6 11-1
9 8 Hero for Hire 12.00 5.8 11-1
10 9 Asem 15.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Belligerent 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Starlet S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Chasing Yesterday 1.80 2.1 4-1
2 2 Mother Mother 2.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Vibrance 2.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Oxy Lady 5.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Enaya Alrabb 12.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Sold It 20.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hard Fought 0.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Dia de Pago 0.00 SCRATCH
5 3 Mercer Island 5.00 3.1 6-1
4 2 King Abner 3.50 3.2 6-1
9 7 Kylemore 4.50 3.3 6-1
12 10 Sheer Flattery 5.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Croatian 8.00 5.4 10-1
8 6 Goren 8.00 6.3 12-1
11 9 Incredible Luck 12.00 6.3 12-1
7 5 Upper Room 12.00 6.7 13-1
10 8 Appalachian Gem 8.00 7.8 15-1
6 4 Violent Ridge 15.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bartlett Hall 2.50 2 4-1
10 10 Spend It 3.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Bitter Ring Home 3.00 4 8-1
2 2 Royal Rebel 15.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Sterling’s Temple 3.50 5.4 10-1
5 5 Brahms Forest 20.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Bryan Habana (ARG) 15.00 6 11-1
3 3 Icouldonlyimagine 15.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Copper Coated 20.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 When Jesus Walked 20.00 8.1 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.