December 8, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Louisiana Championships Day Derby S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | The Cazador | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Second Down Leaving | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jls Dash N Fire | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A Canadian Chill | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ho Lotta Game | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fastdashing Lassie | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secrets Doubleshot | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dales Cartel | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jess Louisiana Boo | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Eye Heart Blue | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | A Nother Zoobilee | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Little Debbie D | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Louisiana Championships Day Qh Juvenile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Eysa Jess Jumpn | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tdz Louisiana Toast | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Guidry Pride II | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jess Runawaytogether | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zoomin Patriot | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Five Bar Perry | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Amending the Bar | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jess Run Corona | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Corona Prize | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mr Range Rover | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tan Jet | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Im for Real | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Louisiana Championships Day Qh Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | San Lorenzo Corona | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heza Louisiana Dash | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Its What It Is | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Won Cc | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Zoomin for Grace | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jrs Coronas Shadow | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lightemupwithcharm | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Non Stop Patriot | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Game On Vince | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coronaoro | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Heza Bell Perry | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Buds World | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Whatitdo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 4 | Our Bermuda | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ibeam | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Two Utes | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Thirtysix G’s | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bound West | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Amavi | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pancho’s Lucky Boy | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Kody Lane | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Les Paul | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Grand Little Man | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Lassie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Fantasy | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Goodprofit | 2.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silvercents | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Timeformetofly | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Raising the Ante | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz the Faith | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sand Pit Road | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Absolut Neworleans | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Ruston Vow | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Wabash Cannonball | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Get It to Geaux | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Throwacross | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Neon Sky | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Fire Lake | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Zippy | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Tune My Guitar | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Pinch Assault | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Juvenile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hampton Roads | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Classy John | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Calimambo | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pickett | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Brother Richie | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jimi’s a Star | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roses n’ Rubies | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cabo’s Rumor | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | D’tuff Cat Rey | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ninety One Assault | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Pont Du Gard | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Morning Mischief | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Battle At Sea | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Theoryintopractice | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | In the Navy | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Magic Vow | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Papa’s Boy | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Morning Mischief | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Underpressure | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Autumn Warrior | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Grande Basin | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mageez | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ready Prospector | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Zenucci | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Ladies S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Viva Vegas | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Eskenformore | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bermuda Star | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Savvy Shipman | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Remember Daisy | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Pacific Pink | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Alexandra | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hyper Piper | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Safari Calamari | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Adios Yankee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Givemeaminit | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Divine Bean | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Monte Man | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jockamo’s Song | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wonder Run | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Greeley Went West | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | My Friend Flavin | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jack Snipe’s | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cheers to Berti | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Ladies Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Minit to Stardom | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ours to Run | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shakopee Town | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | P Boo | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wheatfield | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Light Her Up | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Diamond Cutter | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yes Gorgeous | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Boston Repo | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Boston Bind | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Unrestricted | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shang | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nuggetsofknowledge | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Highly Centsable | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King Bayou | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Inspector Eddie | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pure Valor | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Run Parker Run | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.