December 8, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Louisiana Championships Day Derby S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 The Cazador 4.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Second Down Leaving 3.50 3.7 7-1
8 8 Jls Dash N Fire 4.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 A Canadian Chill 8.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Ho Lotta Game 6.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Fastdashing Lassie 8.00 6 11-1
6 6 Secrets Doubleshot 12.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Dales Cartel 20.00 7 13-1
3 3 Jess Louisiana Boo 30.00 7.4 14-1
11 11 Eye Heart Blue 12.00 7.8 15-1
12 12 A Nother Zoobilee 12.00 8.2 15-1
10 10 Little Debbie D 15.00 9.1 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Louisiana Championships Day Qh Juvenile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Eysa Jess Jumpn 3.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Tdz Louisiana Toast 5.00 4 7-1
8 8 Guidry Pride II 6.00 5 9-1
1 1 Jess Runawaytogether 10.00 5 9-1
4 4 Zoomin Patriot 8.00 5 9-1
3 3 Five Bar Perry 8.00 5.1 10-1
12 12 Amending the Bar 4.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Jess Run Corona 20.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Corona Prize 15.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Mr Range Rover 12.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Tan Jet 20.00 9.6 18-1
11 11 Im for Real 20.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Louisiana Championships Day Qh Classic S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 San Lorenzo Corona 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Heza Louisiana Dash 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Its What It Is 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Won Cc 15.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Zoomin for Grace 4.50 5.1 10-1
5 5 Jrs Coronas Shadow 15.00 6.1 12-1
12 12 Lightemupwithcharm 4.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Non Stop Patriot 12.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Game On Vince 20.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Coronaoro 20.00 7.7 15-1
10 10 Heza Bell Perry 20.00 9.5 18-1
11 11 Buds World 20.00 9.9 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 6 Whatitdo 12.00 SCRATCH
1 4 Our Bermuda 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Ibeam 3.50 4 8-1
3 2 Two Utes 4.50 4.1 8-1
1A 5 Thirtysix G’s 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Bound West 6.00 5 9-1
2 1 Amavi 12.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Pancho’s Lucky Boy 4.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Sweet Kody Lane 12.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Les Paul 12.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Grand Little Man 15.00 8.2 16-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Lassie S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Midnight Fantasy 1.40 1.8 3-1
5 5 Goodprofit 2.00 3.4 7-1
4 4 Silvercents 3.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Timeformetofly 12.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Raising the Ante 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Tiz the Faith 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sand Pit Road 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Absolut Neworleans 20.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Ruston Vow 4.50 3.3 6-1
8 6 Wabash Cannonball 3.50 3.4 6-1
2 1 Get It to Geaux 12.00 4.2 8-1
7 5 Throwacross 5.00 4.2 8-1
5 3 Neon Sky 12.00 4.9 9-1
9 7 Fire Lake 8.00 5.3 10-1
10 8 Zippy 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 4 Tune My Guitar 12.00 6.2 12-1
11 9 Pinch Assault 12.00 8.2 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Juvenile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hampton Roads 5.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Classy John 1.80 2.8 5-1
2 2 Calimambo 6.00 2.9 5-1
7 6 Pickett 4.50 3.8 7-1
4 3 Brother Richie 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Jimi’s a Star 6.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Roses n’ Rubies 15.00 5.3 10-1
8 7 Cabo’s Rumor 12.00 6 11-1
9 8 D’tuff Cat Rey 12.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Turf S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ninety One Assault 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Pont Du Gard 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Morning Mischief 8.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Battle At Sea 5.00 2.7 5-1
4 3 Theoryintopractice 4.50 2.8 5-1
7 5 In the Navy 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 2 Magic Vow 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Papa’s Boy 15.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Classic S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Morning Mischief 8.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Underpressure 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Autumn Warrior 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 Grande Basin 3.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Mageez 3.50 3.8 7-1
4 3 Ready Prospector 8.00 4.5 9-1
7 6 Zenucci 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Ladies S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Viva Vegas 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Eskenformore 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Bermuda Star 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Savvy Shipman 12.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Remember Daisy 3.00 3.1 6-1
9 6 Pacific Pink 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Royal Alexandra 20.00 4 8-1
6 5 Hyper Piper 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Safari Calamari 20.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Adios Yankee 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Givemeaminit 4.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Divine Bean 5.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Monte Man 1.40 3.1 6-1
4 4 Jockamo’s Song 10.00 4.6 9-1
8 7 Wonder Run 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Greeley Went West 12.00 5.4 10-1
9 8 My Friend Flavin 10.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Jack Snipe’s 20.00 6.7 13-1
10 9 Cheers to Berti 20.00 8.2 16-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Ladies Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Minit to Stardom 1.80 2.3 4-1
3 3 Ours to Run 2.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Shakopee Town 5.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 P Boo 10.00 5 10-1
8 8 Wheatfield 6.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Light Her Up 20.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Diamond Cutter 12.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Yes Gorgeous 20.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Boston Repo 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Boston Bind 8.00 3 6-1
7 6 Unrestricted 2.00 3.2 6-1
5 4 Shang 2.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Nuggetsofknowledge 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 5 Highly Centsable 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 King Bayou 15.00 5.2 10-1
9 8 Inspector Eddie 12.00 6.3 12-1
8 7 Pure Valor 20.00 7.1 13-1
10 9 Run Parker Run 12.00 7.4 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.