December 8, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | King Formeredith | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Peerage | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Hope for Value | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mickey | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | My Golden Tale | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Methuselah | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Confederate Yell | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Andy’s Production | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Inagent | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Clancy’s Pepper | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fireman Isaac Max | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mack’s Champ | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Taylor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Fender Baby | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Darion’s Dream | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Flyin Artie | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Taylor’s Princess | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Poopsie Doopsie | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Rockin Rah Rah | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Long Cool Cowgirl | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gladys’ Frontier | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Delightful Soul | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Frankie Kaye | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Samurai’s Prize | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Somethingroyal P | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Safe Keeping | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Yankee’s Fanny | 1.60 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toga Dance | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One King’s Rose | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Racin Christina | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Azuralee | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Crissy Tenpins | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Rosada’s Rose | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Brilliant Notes | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Crown Express | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Best Guess | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alivia’s Lion | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Ruston | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wild Appointment | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | In Full Swing | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Linnie Laurine | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Threepeat | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Indygo Rocket | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Greeley’s Doll | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Big Count | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Into Wynning | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Callmechamp | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Town Boss | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Church of England | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Disapproval | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Emma’s Logic | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Smooth Little Man | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dream Nation | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hudson’s Hunt | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saint Dansant | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jack Be Quick | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | No Guts No Glory | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Biblical Strength | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | So Sorry Ruston | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Mr. Graceful | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | My Prophet | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Angie’s Bling | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Bud’s Mr. B | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Emmett’s Dream | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Shaboxxo | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Dusty Miller | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Battle Angel | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Shameful Gal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Katie’s Bayou | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | A Thousand Reasons | 1.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Take Charge Taylor | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lons Finnish | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | This Is My Prayer | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glory Daze | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beach Bling | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shallow River | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Best Kept Secret | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Our Easter Lily | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sarah’s Holy Belle | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bionic Butterfly | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Belle Force | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Musket’s Cup Cake | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Intensified | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brahms Baby | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Inalyze | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Personal Double | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Spring Value | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Cavallotto | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ten Silver Pins | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Hoga | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Arctic Tribe | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Artist by the Sea | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Forum Form | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Saponi | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Prince | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reece’s Pal | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tdz What a Dream | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Friend of Dubai | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pre Heat | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ryder Rocket | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | V Cross Gripper | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sournois | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Noah’s Prince | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.