December 7, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Itgot Grandma | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Candy Store | 1.20 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome D J | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Rally | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Holly Sun | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Celtic Treasure | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Air Lift | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Poplar Avenue | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boondoggle | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tale of the Blade | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sound Off | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Telling Warrior | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yukon Goldust | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Freedom Storm | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mike the Tiger | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Cerrato | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Relentless Lion | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Orient Point | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lunar Boogie | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | We Made It | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Itshouldbefine | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Great Rhythm | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tiger Eyes | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gimme Kimmy | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Senora de Lujan | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Telesa | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Springtime Wind | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Corvid | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Missin Maggie | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Astro Pop Kid | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5A | 5 | Top Hat Ragtop | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4A | 4 | Samadi Blue | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Southern Rules | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | By the Bay | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Nick Papagiorgio | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Danube | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wall | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Liar | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Seany P | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Syrah | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Liz’s Smile | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | War Tweet | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sipping Champagne | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Louise | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hard Rockin Blues | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sophie N | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Smoochin Candy | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Out of the Way | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bo Vuk | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Westerdale | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Forced | 1.40 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gnarly | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mandel | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cousin Jimmy | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Alfred | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toe Curlin’ Kiss | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 1 | Statesboro | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Successful Zip | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Win Win Win | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | By the Sey Shore | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Brother Tez | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lady’s Weekend | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sunman | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | M G Broker | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | I B Charly | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Onemoregreattime | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Taco Supream | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sonic Boom E Jet | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | High Roller | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dynamic Asset | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Bella Brown | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Keuka Roller | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mr. Fixit | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lacrostix | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Pirate | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Port Louis | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.