December 7, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mars Curiosity | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cale’s Gold | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Legendary Larry | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Witch Hunt | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Say Charlie | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mighty Intimidator | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sparky Sparkles | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Ricky | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Scat At Ms. Pat’s | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alittlebitextra | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cohenscollegefund | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blowing Bayou | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mamma Says | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | D’rockette | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tizzy’s Song | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Bitters | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Disapproval | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Max Our Man | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mauk Power | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mister Ander | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Band Boss | 1.60 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | War Dude | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cool Man | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Louisiana Creole | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Runciman | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Savannah Dandy | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shermaesque Flag | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hugo’s Last Song | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Valyrian | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Theboyzdelight | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | It’s Mike’s Turn | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bolitar | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Darylslittleengine | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miracles Yankee | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jackie Blu | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gentlemengentlemen | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Song N a Cat | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Roberto Gato | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Changewilldoyagood | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Chat Rat | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Expectations | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lukes Bad Boy | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Montbrooks Miracle | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Si Familia | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Killingit | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hero’s Divide | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stick | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Leavethetip | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | King’s Share | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | C C Harris | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twin Farms | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Out Love | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | D’rocketman | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dark Harbor | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Insubordination | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blended Lute | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Harry’s Lil Hippie | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Smooth Colliery | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | County Coroner | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Regal Heiress | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Got Moxy | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silver’s Swan Song | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honest Scarlet | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky for Us | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ice Party | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dixie Doris | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Al’s Gal | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’sagraciouslady | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fleet Halo | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tell Your Mama | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dr Liz | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mariah’s Galaxy | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Suzie’s Dream | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Operatic | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Redtotherescue | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Queen of Gypsies | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Watch My Steam | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | A Pretty Face | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Space Cowgirl | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Z Pride | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Louisiana Lily | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Keelies Tea Party | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Miss Rippinlips | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gettothepoint | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Honey Hearts | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Two J’s | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Becky’s Dude | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sky Low | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | You Have a Point | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Holy American | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sorcerer’s Bag | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.