December 6, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Room to Finish 0.80 2.7 5-1
1 1 Joey G 4.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Run By 10.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Bing’s d’Oro 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Elizabeth’s Music 20.00 5 9-1
6 6 Kraft’s Rate 10.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Speak Briley 20.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 She’s Our Star 10.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Lady’s Tribute 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Latrobe’s King 2.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Wristlet 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Mr. Macfadden 3.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Lethal Move 4.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Moneyinmypocket 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Borodino 8.00 5 9-1
6 6 Hitthegroundrunnin 8.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Champagne Diva 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Fetching Fury 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Dhafeera (GB) 2.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Jing 2.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Unexpected Visit 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Looks Super 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Sarabi 12.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Brenda’s Fever 10.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Miss Curlin 20.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Rapid Lady 12.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 My Pepper Ann 3.50 2.9 5-1
2 3 Lookout Mountain 4.50 3.6 7-1
6 7 Sweet Pea Mama Ve 3.00 3.6 7-1
1A 2 Cinnamon Diva 3.50 3.8 7-1
3 4 Lucky Band 5.00 4.5 9-1
5 6 My Bonne Margie 6.00 6 11-1
4 5 Miss Mariposa 10.00 6.1 12-1
8 9 Timebobanna 6.00 7.1 13-1
7 8 Star Too 10.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Junket 2.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Stand and Cheer 3.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Because It’s Time 3.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Grand Marais 4.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Garrison K 8.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Pops Legacy 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Sparkys Surprise 12.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Goddess of Kip 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Pour Girl 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Sage’s Epiphany 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Havinfunyet 3.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Vow Me Over 12.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Behold the Queen 12.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Lady Temple 12.00 5 9-1
7 7 Kentucky Brown 15.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Go Go Goose 12.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Too Bad Chu 20.00 6.9 13-1
11 10 Little Snip 12.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Forgotten 20.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Day Dreamer 3.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Mardi Gras Mask 4.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Parade Blue 3.00 4 8-1
5 5 True Wisdom 6.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Lady Boots 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Fortythreeoeight N 6.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Spicy Shot 15.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Seven Nation Army 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Aquadini 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Please Sit Down 3.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Handsome Honey 12.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Vogt 4.00 5 9-1
13 13 Jabbar 5.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Charcoal 15.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 Philosophy 8.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Carrier Landing 10.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Diamond Prospector 12.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Just Might 15.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Eat the Ticket 20.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Lookin High 20.00 9.4 18-1
12 12 Three Twins 30.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Our Lady’s Prayer 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Liz’s Legend 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Charlotte’s Wish 2.00 2.5 5-1
4 3 Strikingly Smart 8.00 3.3 6-1
9 7 Wind Zee 1.80 3.8 7-1
8 6 Casey’s Doll 8.00 5 9-1
7 5 Unbridled Honey 12.00 5 9-1
1 1 Kiss Endra 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 4 Honest Bandit 15.00 5.8 11-1
10 8 Dori’s Birdies 12.00 6 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.