Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, December 5, 2018

December 5, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Flashy Patch 2.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Sassy Ombre 2.50 2.9 5-1
5 5 Hockey Hair 3.00 4 7-1
2 2 Molinaro Deputy 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Light My Path 4.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Splendid Glory 20.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kucherov 2.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Wall Street Wolf 1.80 3 6-1
2 2 Silent Emissary 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Northern Sky 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Golden Exchange 3.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Waubaushene 20.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mamita’s Chica 3.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Soexotic 2.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Two Tribes 2.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Miss Artie Deco 4.50 4 8-1
1 1 Lyla D 20.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Rockyroadto Dublin 8.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Adopted Family 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Lady Rebel 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Sea My Moves 6.00 5 9-1
12 12 Hush Buffy 3.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 Mizzona 4.50 5.7 11-1
10 10 Oculist 3.50 5.7 11-1
2 2 Get Saucy 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Sophias Dream 20.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Hey Hey Run Away 20.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Bel Ayr Bay 20.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Tornado Cat 30.00 8.2 16-1
8 8 Freshieintheforest 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Court Reporter 3.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Bel Tempo 3.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Hidden Appeal 2.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Show Me the Prize 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Boyne River 6.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Conquer the Course 12.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Frost Delay 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Misguided Passion 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Forester’s Forum 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Sweet Rhapsody 1.20 2 4-1
4 4 Sumerian Bell 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 Riker 1.60 3.6 7-1
3 3 Virga 10.00 4 8-1
2 2 Tinker Ring 20.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Belle Danseuse 15.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Touch of Emma 2.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Dilly Dally Darby 4.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Whatta Girl 3.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Crazy About Jazz 20.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Giovanna Ponti 10.00 5 9-1
6 6 Cindervella 8.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Bear Kitty 6.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Dance Or Stroll 20.00 6 11-1
7 7 Turbo Driven Diva 15.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Create an Edge 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Chenes 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Easy Bid 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Hanchy 10.00 5 10-1
11 9 Bella Nina 3.00 5 10-1
1 1 Julie’s Tap Dancer 20.00 5.1 10-1
12 10 Echo Bay 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Happycrest 12.00 5.6 11-1
15 13 Dontdropurcrop 8.00 6.6 13-1
3 3 Fleck 20.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Best Dressed 15.00 7.2 14-1
14 12 Eesti Star 12.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Sligo One 20.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 High Seas Romance 30.00 8.8 17-1
13 11 Gabby’s Ballerina 20.00 10.3 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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