December 5, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Texican 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Kye’s Addycat 5.00 4 7-1
6 6 Watchoutfor Taylor 2.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Talkothtown 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Overlyappealing 30.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Ray’s King 12.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Asap 5.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Lucky Doctor 6.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Blake’s Father 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Racy 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Majino 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Velvet Vision 2.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Frontier Hero 4.50 4.2 8-1
7 7 Byanymeans 4.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Deep End 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Excitable Girl 15.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 The Thrill Is On 20.00 6.5 12-1
9 8 Vidrine’s Choice 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Our Story 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Net a Bear 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Uncomplicated 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Granfathersleugirl 6.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Los Suenos 4.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Millie Bee 10.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 My Little Jen 20.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Ladygogently 8.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Bandit’s Deelite 10.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 See What’s What 10.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Andy Man 3.50 3.4 7-1
1 1 Theboyzgrand Kis 10.00 4 7-1
7 7 Dewey’s Sunshine 2.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Hustle N Jive 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Halos Prayer 6.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Landing Man 2.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Lougarou 15.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Valid Prospector 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Trident Hero 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 He’s a Lady Tamer 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Bitsy’s Half 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Successful Story 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Runaway Ide 3.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Jade Star 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Steppin’ Outonher 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 I’m Formidable 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Ty’s Agenda 30.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 K One Kobra 10.00 5.2 10-1
9 7 River Pride 10.00 5.9 11-1
11 8 Hewhofillsmyheart 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Princess Arwen 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Sizzle Factor 3.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Seveneightnine 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Kilasa 3.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Summertime Gal 5.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Born to D’ Wild 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Costa Sugar 20.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Queezee Proud 10.00 5.9 11-1
10 9 Tiz One Fee 5.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Skeeter 6.00 6 11-1
9 8 Miss Guretta 8.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Ardesia 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Angeles 2.50 SCRATCH
2 1 All Effort 6.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Prime Patriot 20.00 SCRATCH
4 1 Lily’s Pose 3.50 2.8 5-1
1 2 Keene’s Desire 5.00 3.3 6-1
1A 7 Mysterious Kingdom 5.00 3.6 7-1
7 5 Customs in Dixie 4.50 3.7 7-1
6 4 Gladee’s Gray Lady 10.00 5 9-1
5 3 Mitch’s Pins 20.00 5.3 10-1
9 6 Navy Regatta 8.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Maga Man 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Smooth Current 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Big Boy Dave Rex 1.80 3.4 6-1
6 5 Lord Colliery 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 King Sniper 10.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 My Book 20.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Uncle Herbie 10.00 5.3 10-1
10 9 Mug Shot Man 8.00 6.2 12-1
8 7 Star Banjo 12.00 6.5 12-1
9 8 Binding 20.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lucky Lukie (GB) 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 A P’s Winner 4.50 3 6-1
6 6 Catalogue 2.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Tapnow 3.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Far Out Time 4.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Kinlee’s Song 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 And Yet Another 10.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Jersey Bullet 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Cat’s Shining Star 3.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Binder 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 6 Flatteroni 5.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Supersonicsong 20.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Go Tanner Go 15.00 5.3 10-1
8 7 Seeyainthetestbarn 10.00 5.4 10-1
9 8 Clip Joint 4.00 5.4 10-1
6 5 Corey’sgoldentouch 20.00 6.2 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.