December 4, 2018 Portland Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Que Chistoso |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Coming in Hot |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Roamin Effort |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Nice Guys Finish |
3.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Argyle Cut |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Snowball’s Chance |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Hold That Smile |
2.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Winninginfashion |
2.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Stay in Grace |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Swiss Script |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Getting Joellenned |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bella Fabiela |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Merveilleuse |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Shot of Reality |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Indian Power |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lucky Outcome |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fay Belle |
3.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Luckrules |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tee Time Mary |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Redneck Steve |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
One True King |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Forty Seven Blue |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Harbor Moon Boy |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Attaboy Quinn |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tizastone |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cantbreakmystride |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Plum Spooky |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Key to Glory |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Arviat Bay |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
National Browser |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
Informant |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
1 |
Coast Is Clear |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
6 |
Tinsel Angel |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
7 |
5 |
Sparkling Peg |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
4 |
Hallie Jae |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
9 |
7 |
Mnmsuncorked |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Parkers Rose |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
La Brisa |
10.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hot Gem |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Motutapu |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Portray Ur Vision |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Choteau |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Alittle Bit Parker |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Isle Challenge |
6.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Stormy Endeavor |
20.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Katsthoughts |
20.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Hashtag Bae |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Party for One |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hunters Vow |
2.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Empire Ruler |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mimis Big Boy |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dark Morning |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Latitudefortytwo |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sassy Moe |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
That’s Gold |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
California Flash |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Member State (GB) |
3.50 |
4 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kingpin Ruler |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cle Elum Phil |
4.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bromance |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Master Bubba |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Stay in Power |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Mr. Takahashi |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Capital Expense |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Westley |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Secret Echo |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cantchaco |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Shot Gun Gary |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fly High Gary |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
Pistol Power |
10.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Thisdewarsforyou |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Trust in the Stars |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dobert |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mojolicious |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
G S Cowboy Cash |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pepper Sharp |
4.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Trojan the Wildcat |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
C Me Roar |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.