December 4, 2018 Portland Meadows Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Que Chistoso 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Coming in Hot 2.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Roamin Effort 4.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Nice Guys Finish 3.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Argyle Cut 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Snowball’s Chance 6.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hold That Smile 2.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Winninginfashion 2.50 2.9 6-1
4 4 Stay in Grace 3.00 4 8-1
3 3 Swiss Script 5.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Getting Joellenned 4.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Bella Fabiela 20.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Merveilleuse 2.50 3 6-1
3 3 Shot of Reality 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Indian Power 4.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Lucky Outcome 15.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Fay Belle 3.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Luckrules 4.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Tee Time Mary 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Redneck Steve 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 One True King 2.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Forty Seven Blue 4.00 3.6 7-1
8 7 Harbor Moon Boy 3.00 4 8-1
2 2 Attaboy Quinn 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Tizastone 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Cantbreakmystride 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Plum Spooky 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Key to Glory 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Arviat Bay 4.50 SCRATCH
3 2 National Browser 3.00 2.1 4-1
4 3 Informant 4.00 3 6-1
2 1 Coast Is Clear 8.00 3.1 6-1
8 6 Tinsel Angel 6.00 4.5 8-1
7 5 Sparkling Peg 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 4 Hallie Jae 15.00 5.2 10-1
9 7 Mnmsuncorked 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Parkers Rose 3.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 La Brisa 10.00 4 7-1
4 4 Hot Gem 5.00 4 8-1
9 9 Motutapu 2.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Portray Ur Vision 10.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Choteau 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Alittle Bit Parker 20.00 6 11-1
10 10 Isle Challenge 6.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Stormy Endeavor 20.00 7.1 14-1
7 7 Katsthoughts 20.00 8.2 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hashtag Bae 2.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Party for One 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Hunters Vow 2.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Empire Ruler 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Mimis Big Boy 15.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Dark Morning 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Latitudefortytwo 10.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Sassy Moe 15.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 That’s Gold 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 California Flash 4.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Member State (GB) 3.50 4 7-1
3 3 Kingpin Ruler 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Cle Elum Phil 4.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Bromance 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Master Bubba 15.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Stay in Power 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mr. Takahashi 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Capital Expense 2.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Westley 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Secret Echo 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Cantchaco 4.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Shot Gun Gary 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Fly High Gary 15.00 5.4 10-1
9 8 Pistol Power 10.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Thisdewarsforyou 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Trust in the Stars 2.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Dobert 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Mojolicious 4.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 G S Cowboy Cash 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Pepper Sharp 4.50 5 9-1
5 5 Trojan the Wildcat 15.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 C Me Roar 6.00 5.8 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.