Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, December 4, 2018

December 4, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Chorite 1.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Revolving Storm 3.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 E Lizzy 5.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 La Nena de Papa 4.00 4 7-1
5 5 Causeway Cutie 20.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Grande Beso 15.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Royal Melbourne 30.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Fire Rooster 2.50 1.9 4-1
9 8 Alex’s Fast Lane 4.50 2.9 5-1
5 5 Border Agent 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Simma Cum Laude 3.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Cloudy Saturday 5.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Joe the Boss 10.00 5.5 10-1
7 6 Pleasant Sojourn 20.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 De Punta a Punta 30.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Brandon’s Law 1.80 2.3 4-1
2 2 All in Girl 0.80 2.6 5-1
1 1 Grand Blue Harbor 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Offlee Risque 20.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Jerseymooseisloose 12.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Miss Rage 20.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Get Over It 30.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Carole’s Rainbow 30.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Loyal Aficionada 30.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Wait for It 2.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Ruby Bleu 6.00 4 8-1
8 8 Jeezum Jim 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 King Koa 3.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Hidden Funds 4.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Hodor 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Red Razzo 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Jw’strickymischief 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Big Louie D 1.60 SCRATCH
1 1 Winning the Medal 5.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Yeah Rocky 3.50 3 6-1
3 3 Thomas Knight 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 South Sea 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Stand and Salute 15.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Fast Runner 12.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Friday Mass 1.80 2.3 4-1
5 5 Moon Chant 3.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Spring Away 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Donna’s Dunkirk 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Orquidea 4.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Whitney Cove 10.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Abuela Loca 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Charming Indy 0.80 3.7 7-1
5A 5 One Sided 4.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Act of Madness 10.00 4 8-1
2A 2 High Dollar Kitten 4.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Alturist 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Golden Rivet 15.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Battle Tap 20.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Kraken Glacken 12.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Roman Revival 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Mia Bella Rossa 2.50 3 6-1
4 4 Jemrose 3.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Axe Capital 8.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Mary Costa 10.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Angie Grand 15.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Ebony Ball 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Captain Sam 6.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Charlybrown’s Rose 10.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Girls and Guns 20.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Exotic Appeal 20.00 8.2 16-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Offender 30.00 SCRATCH
10 9 A J’s Way 1.80 2.1 4-1
3 2 Razzy’s Reward 4.00 3.3 6-1
7 6 Insider 10.00 4.9 9-1
12 11 Kion 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 Cape Cod Sun 6.00 5.6 11-1
6 5 Unclenedwhodrank 12.00 5.8 11-1
2 1 Sambook 30.00 6.2 12-1
9 8 Debonaire Man 20.00 6.4 12-1
8 7 Fist of Thor 15.00 7.8 15-1
11 10 Proudmiamicitizen 30.00 8 15-1
4 3 Money Maker 30.00 8.7 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.