Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, December 3, 2018

December 3, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hey Mamaluke 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Dancingthehnydaway 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Scholar Lee 15.00 SCRATCH
4 2 Hailey’s Way 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Nancy B 4.00 3.4 6-1
6 4 True Upgrade 8.00 4.2 8-1
10 7 Winning Knockout 5.00 4.5 9-1
8 6 Storm Babe 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 3 Isabella Smile 10.00 5 9-1
7 5 Charly’s Charm 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Jeddo 15.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Industrial Logic 1.60 2.3 4-1
6 5 Six Blade 2.50 3.7 7-1
4 3 Treasury Stock 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 4 Uncle James 30.00 4.6 9-1
3 2 Eastern Front 30.00 4.7 9-1
8 7 B C F’s Outrageous 5.00 4.8 9-1
2 1 Gran Fortress 10.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Glinda 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 The Circle Game 2.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Padrinoneverquits 2.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Morholesinmypocket 3.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Sandy Mischief 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Eldora 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Not in the Mood 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Pink Princess 1.60 SCRATCH
1 6 She’s Running Free 4.00 SCRATCH
5 3 Bow Town Cat 2.00 2.3 4-1
1A 5 Congressionalstorm 4.00 3.1 6-1
4 2 To the Flag 15.00 3.4 6-1
2 1 Lendar 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 4 Crazy Daisy 8.00 4.5 8-1
7 6 Hy Rapid Lady 20.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Secret Lies 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Vidarr 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Trusted Redemption 8.00 SCRATCH
6 3 Country Squire 1.80 2 4-1
8 5 Jones Taxi 3.50 2.9 6-1
5 2 Midnight Honey 4.50 3.9 7-1
2 1 Marty McFly 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 4 Partner’s Power 20.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Her Divineness 3.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Party Pants 1.80 2.2 4-1
2 2 Gina’s Honey 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Chessen 20.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Luv Her Baby Blues 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Anita Lass 5.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Deserted 20.00 5 9-1
3 3 Somethingwithlilly 30.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sweet Turn 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 My Candy Forest 1.40 2.3 4-1
7 6 Nikki’s Bad 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Rosie’s Notion 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Promised Storm 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Berberslilbriebrie 4.00 4.5 8-1
6 5 Hibernia Diamond 20.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2X 9 Halite 8.00 SCRATCH
3C 11 Marq One 20.00 SCRATCH
4 1 Major Force 4.00 SCRATCH
7 5 Swinging Star 2.00 2.4 5-1
5 1 Wonderfully Tuned 4.50 3.6 7-1
2 3 Bobby the Brain 8.00 4.5 9-1
1A 8 Seat of Honor 5.00 4.6 9-1
8 7 Koan 15.00 4.9 9-1
1 2 Spring Emperor 5.00 5.2 10-1
3 6 Get the W 20.00 5.2 10-1
6 4 Lost Iron 10.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Musical Comedy 20.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 County Corrections 5.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Rapo 2.50 4 8-1
7 7 Rings of Jupiter 3.50 4.7 9-1
10 10 Noble Kent 12.00 5 9-1
1 1 To the Victor 6.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Sight Line 10.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Master Yank 20.00 6 11-1
6 6 Mbrace Grace 8.00 6.6 13-1
9 9 American Roma 15.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 In Equality 20.00 7.1 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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