December 2, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Memory Magic | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starfish Point | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ten Tap Dances | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Any Ole Thing | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Floatie | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | We Girls Rule | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Cajun English | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Is Too | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Temple Shadow | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | B’s Ten | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reine des Animaux | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Tap Dance Star | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ourgoldshalaylee | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Crimson Feline | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pera | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cherry Twist | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Madalyna | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stellar Magic | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Helen Wheels | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roman Bird | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paper Doll | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | D’wild Irish Rose | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | Ekaterinoslav | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Farat | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Non Regrette | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Fra Mauro | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Strong Current | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Piocho | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Zartastic | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Drayke’s Channel | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Saint William | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Simply Gucci | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Purple Heart Road | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’ll Raise You | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lookin At Priority | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Striking Star | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Classic Heath | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | J B’s Sound | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Tschudi’s Girl | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 5 | Maid of Iron | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Color Fashioned | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 7 | Ishtar | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Speed too Tume | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Vortices | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | Feeling Good | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Gioblast | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Divine Sky | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just in the Moment | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Russian Mafia | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Brilliant Flair | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Turner Time | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speightstime | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Lucky Bucky | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bluegrass Gem | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Bar Ryder | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Dance Even | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Saber Rattler | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Butta Got Uncs Bac | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Samargo | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Five B C | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Exotica | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Martian | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Brilliant Slew | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sunset Wish | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Soul Planet | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Community Watch | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Anonymously | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Noble Love | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Iron Grip | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Nasty Time | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Personal Conflict | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Weidenbachers Gent | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Walker the Wiz | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tylers Bandit | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | V Double U | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Friend to Me | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.