December 1, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shack Up | 1.20 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Our First Candy | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Lagrats | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moon Shock | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Viva Nevada | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Thirsty | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thump | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lethal Lil Lady | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J R Jellybean | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alaapatique | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kowboy King | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Artistic Drifter | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sunshine Wild | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zen’s Land | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Promise Illgetyou | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wild Man | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grandpa Len | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Burntwood | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gotta Get Away | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Die Hard Di | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stoneville | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Our Bruce Edwin | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Martini Kid | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fire Sparx | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Josey Wales | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Pink Princess | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 3 | Gobi | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lou’s Chardonnay | 0.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Aunt Rose | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Blue Shine | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Love On Fire | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Your Pace Or Mine | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 8 | Lucky Stash | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Hanna Due | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 5 | Sierra Forest | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Gotta Go Go Go | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Runnin On Sunshine | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Trapps Star | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Billy No Sabay | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Weekend Babe | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bellamy Cat | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shoe Loves Shoe | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Down With the King | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Warrior Lake | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Caniform | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Clever Caliban | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Strong Breeze | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Secret Secret | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Family Crest | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rockin Cowboy | 1.20 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bluegrass Demon | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Pooch | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Wanda Win | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baby Cat | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King’s House | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rebel Vow | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Pennsylvania Nursery S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Vorian | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Motowncharlybrown | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Splicethemainbrace | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aspect | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Billy Youre Fired | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Call Paul | 0.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jump for Alex | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jw’s Third Mischie | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thiscatcanjump | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Start Cashin | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Valiant Spirit | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kendyl Elizabeth | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rory P. | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lion and the Wolf | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Island Getaway | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Argumentative | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Upandcoming | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saratoga Angel | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Step N Out | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | High Math | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.