December 1, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Young American | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Daystrike | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pachi Cruze | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hosway | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Demon Buster | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | C B Bodemester | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grosco (MEX) | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cheese On | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Apolodorodedamasco | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vineyard | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Godlovesasinner | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pascal Chant | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eightyeightmph | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Blow the Whistle | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Etruscan | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Try Flying | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dazzling Okie | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey Seven | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prime Time Man | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Patriot Saint | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ore Pass | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Top Hat Tune | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Oy to the World | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kitchen Soup | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ice Docket | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Why Wouldn’t We | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rapidashcat | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shadow Boxer | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Chesapeakecity | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quick Man | 30.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prospect for Gold | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Lovely Games | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Colonnello | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vicar’s Chalice | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Guthries Collar | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Pockets | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Doctor Leo J | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Col. North | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tarahumar | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Escrow Finnidilly | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Survoyant | 50.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Justa Scoch | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Irish Access | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beyond Forever | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Love’s Legend | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hashtag Selfie | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magically Discreet | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bronx Sandman | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Warrioroftheroses | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No More Talk | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tricked Up | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ten Hut | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twin Valor | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Birdies Honor | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Do Yahwanna Salsa | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hot Mic | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stomp Dance | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Self Start | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Field Advantage | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Far From Awesome | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | In Him With Him | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr J | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Trion Wings | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Top Hat Voyager | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Eliav | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | America’s Prince | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Joey Gotcha | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Admiral’s Row | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Ricardito | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Corrupt | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.