December 1, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ack | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Honcho | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Swamp Souffle | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mayan Warrior | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saltarin | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lead Star | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Daddy Jones | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | I Belong to Becky | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gracious Me | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spend Spend Spend | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Confidentially | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Johansson | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lovely Finish | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tribal Ann | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sixes | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | St. Joe Bay | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Apalachee Bay | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Surrender Now | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Bay Muzik | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Eddie Haskell | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Cistron | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Calculator | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Allaboutaction | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Go On Mary | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Placido | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Isee It in Hiseyes | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Builder | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Schulace | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Drizzy | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Giddymeister | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Powerful Thirst | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Demonslayer | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Lily Con | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Samandah | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Fabulous Star | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | My Sweet Baboo | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Hello Bubbles | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Enamored | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Giza Goddess | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Opus Won | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shes All Woman | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Queen Ryker (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Landon | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Woodfin | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Nomizar | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Super Klaus | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Toffee | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mongolian Humor | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vallestina | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gypsy Blu | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sauce On Side | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tapitha Bonita | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pied N True | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Wonderfully | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Hollywood Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Californiagoldrush | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | River Boyne (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Raging Bull (FR) | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Have At It | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Desert Stone (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kazan (IRE) | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Instilled Regard | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Risky Proposition | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Platinum Warrior (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Prince Earl | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Carrick | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fight On | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pubilius Syrus | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Way Early | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Stretford End | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kingly | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nolo Contesto | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Green Fleet | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Mandate | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mutineer | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Reserve | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Camp | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Moonoverthebayou | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Nolde | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Marjorie E | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Super Patriot | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speakers | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sapphire Kid | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Thalia | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Emmy and I | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Absolutely Perfect | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tenthousandreasons | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kennedie Sky | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quinnie | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Drop the Mic | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.