November 29, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fairy Wish | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Dilly | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Rosuri | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sunday Red | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Weekends for Work | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kateandlillian | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kentucky Smooth | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Chaussette Blanche | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Nosy | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bad Nana | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Folk Magic | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Child’s Play | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Don’s Escapade | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shifra Magician | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shecor | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | So Good | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moneymeister | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sidewalk Prophet | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Generalist | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jericho Marsh | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bay Hill | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Quick Witted | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Imply | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Achance Too | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Isotope | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Luz Mimi | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Timeless Curls | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady by Choice | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trace of Grace | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sine Wave | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Item | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Gotham Gala | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Majestic Won | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Yes to the Dress | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | She Rolls | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Adios Annie | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Le Weekend | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Robin’s Destiny | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Phantom Shot | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | D J’s Favorite | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | If I Was a Boy | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Finding Perfection | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Conjecture | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Colloquium | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Home Dixie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Getouttamyway | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Two Dozen Roses | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Better Yet | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Gotta Be Strong | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Wicked Awesome | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Fifteen K | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Offerhecantrefuse | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Gum | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Snidely | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Belmont Ride | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Belmullet | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bear Trappe | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dynamic Kid | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rafter | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Luv the Painter | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kopper Wired | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whirlin Curlin | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | No Drinking Rules | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hail’s Statement | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fifth Thief | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Federal Walk | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ticker Tape Parade | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bobbyalexsgoldmark | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Patriotic Quest | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ortinola | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Ellanation | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mia Gift | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Two Sixteen | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Swing | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tuffy’s Way | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Clover Bottom | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Molly’s Dolly | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Holly’s Lady | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.