November 29, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Okinawa | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Swirling | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Luminoso | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Easy Grader | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | S Y Sky | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sensible Myth | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ippodamia’s Girl | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moon Kitty | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Nine Point Nine | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Luck’s Royal Flush | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Square Peggy | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rickey B | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Special | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kid Cantina | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bea’s Boy | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Autism Is Here | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Placido | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Doc Curlin | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Cats Blame | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Forest Chatter | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Short of Ez | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | R Cha Cha | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Aristocratic | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Incensed | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Allaboutmike | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | P Club | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Checks in the Mail | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Bless His Heart | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Emotional Ride | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lil Milo | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sidepocket Action | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Captain Buzzkill | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Leroy Pegasus | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Perfect Tale | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Peedie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Cyprus Souljah | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tank Team | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mobou | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Red Clem | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Shanghai Barbie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Unusual Rider | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Offshore Affair | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 2 | He Be Mojo Risin | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Unusual Angel | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Brix | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | M C Burkey | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | It’s Tiz Time | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tidal Effect | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ayacara (GB) | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mongolian Groom | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Goodwillambassador | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oh Man | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smokin B | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Camino de Estrella | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Point Guard | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Hot American | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Offshore | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Hoover Tower | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Wilshire Dude | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Rinse and Repeat | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Comma Sister | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Gray Admiral | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | All I Can Say | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Facts Matter | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Stylistics United | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Shake N Fries | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Concord Jet | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tanker | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Suite Alonso | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Violent Behavior | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mad At Money | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Thin Line | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ministersdon’tlie | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bull Fighter | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Magic Bro | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.