November 25, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Seventh Wonder | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tahana | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Skipped Him | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Success | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kid Forester | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunspear | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Fresh | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bala Falls | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wee Miss Dorothy | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Somersby | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Walk Thru Jasper | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | D’s Benefaction | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Honey | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ananova | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Court Time | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quixotical | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ickymasho (GB) | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Superduper Sky | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Theodora B. | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kadley | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lunar Garden | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Daddy’s Great Bay | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Cape Romance | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Slam | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miracle Silver | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Giant Mine | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coolshade | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kitten’s Dilemma | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dundurn | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Northern Mike | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wonnestrut | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gold Backed | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Inventing Blame | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Matthews’ Orb | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dramatic Kitten | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Melody | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Encierro | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cause for Alarm | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Keeper | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Personal Journey | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Field Patrol | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Malibu Wood | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Second Street | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bear At Last | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roxy’s Vision | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nevaeh’s Valentine | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arthur’s Pass | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Divine Dance | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Badjeros Boy | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Guitar George | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thunder Point | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Desert Poem | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Boogie With Me | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red Riot | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Islay Inlet | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Piper’s Legacy | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forest Halo | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Worlds Your Oyster | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Rita | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dirty Girl | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fact Checking | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Bessarabian S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Bonnie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Monte Crista | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Silent Sonet | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Code Warrior | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jessica Krupnick | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kasuga | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Moonlit Promise | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Let It Ride Mom | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | My Miss Tapit | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sugar Jones | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Red Explosion | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Red Cabernet | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Alnilah | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ladies Night | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 15 | 13 | Mexican Hat | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Maisie | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Key Red | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sunset Cruise | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No Chill | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Danielle | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hello Annie | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Klassy Delight | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Asha Ironborn | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Savoia | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fire for Effect | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Deep Freeze | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Gee | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sine Metu | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Follow My Lead | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pipers Warrior | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Conqueror Galactus (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Remembermis | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Cepelinas | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Court Em All | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Real Dude | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Oasis | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | First Shot | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stop the Parade | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Major Kelly | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dan Sing Nightly | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Silent Empire | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Postman Pat | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mambointheforest | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Blind | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Cinnamon Bear | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Parrsboro | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flashy Trial | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Igotheart | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.