Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 24, 2018

November 24, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Pearl Heist 1.00 2 4-1
2 2 Souper Hot 5.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Ojiisan 2.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Krachenwagen 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Tallulah Darling 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Almost Perfect 15.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Full Extreme 3.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Sandy Bay 2.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Sharp Brew 3.50 3.4 7-1
6 6 Argentium 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Timberlea 4.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Trump’s Kitten 6.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Countryside Drive 20.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mary of Scotts 2.50 2.2 4-1
8 8 Flashy Gizmo 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Dulcibelle (GER) 3.00 4 8-1
2 2 Candy Mountain 12.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 H Is Just a Number 4.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Mislight 12.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 J M R Bold Vision 8.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Durdle Door 20.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Hope Garden 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mercury Rising 30.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Calais Cove 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 5 Georgia Sweets 3.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Bella Nina 5.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Petite Amie 6.00 4.6 9-1
10 9 House On the Hill 15.00 5.2 10-1
8 7 Bel Tempo 10.00 5.3 10-1
5 4 Dontdropurcrop 8.00 5.8 11-1
9 8 Fleck 8.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 High Seas Romance 30.00 6.8 13-1
11 10 Light It Up 30.00 9 17-1
12 11 Gabby’s Ballerina 30.00 9.5 18-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Nadeleine 3.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Auntie Katherine 2.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Conquest Rapiduno 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Glib Marylin 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Beaufils 5.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Valid N Gold 20.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Show Me the Prize 10.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Frost Delay 12.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Awesomeendswithme 20.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Boyne River 12.00 8.2 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Never Sober 1.20 1.9 4-1
1 1 Sweet Brynlie 3.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 Carmen Is My Name 6.00 4 8-1
9 9 Sea Sparkle 15.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Vesperanza 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Muskoka Suzie 12.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Simply Mysterious 8.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Dancing Horizon 20.00 7 13-1
4 4 Court Surprise 20.00 7.1 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Night Watchman 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Hines 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Spirit of Caledon 5.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Family Kitten 2.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Courtly Manner 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 6 Ellas My Love 15.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Seize the Bay 6.00 4.2 8-1
9 7 Bourbon Extension 8.00 5.9 11-1
6 5 Selling Out 20.00 6.5 12-1
10 8 Boyhood Dream 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Kennedy Road S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Yorkton 1.40 2.6 5-1
3 3 Holding Gold 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Hemp Hemp Hurray 3.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Vici 10.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Ikerrin Road (IRE) 5.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Singandcryindubai 12.00 5 9-1
6 6 Call Me Wally 15.00 7 13-1
9 9 Brass Compass 20.00 7 13-1
4 4 Boreal Spirit 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Roxy’s Vision 20.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Marten Lake 2.50 3.5 7-1
8 7 Tale of the Nile 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Slip Kid 10.00 4.5 8-1
6 5 Forest Brother 3.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Riker 12.00 5.2 10-1
11 10 Bet On Mike 6.00 5.8 11-1
9 8 Colton’s Corner 8.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Run Away 20.00 5.9 11-1
10 9 Forester’s Forum 20.00 6.6 13-1
5 4 Worbothor 12.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Killag Katie 2.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Modus Operandi 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Rince Tapaigh 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Mystic Nile 2.50 3.9 7-1
8 8 Cape Mist 10.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Princess Royal 20.00 6 11-1
7 7 Via Ann 12.00 6 11-1
2 2 Sothatsthewayitis 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Cat’s Whisper 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Town Cruise 4.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Harper P M 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Gold Sting 3.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Fast Negotiations 6.00 4.4 8-1
14 12 Nevaeh’s Dream 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Fritzie’s Boy 15.00 4.7 9-1
10 9 Sent From Heaven 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 7 Desolator 20.00 6.1 12-1
11 10 Alacritous 10.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Fullthrottle Kid 30.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Bay of Rum 12.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Pool Playa 20.00 8.9 17-1
12 11 Legal Gump 20.00 9.4 18-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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