November 24, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Da Van Geaux | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Exchange Gold | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chimneyville | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Colonel Soul | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Social Cat | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thirtysix G’s | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rocky Toga | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Roar of the Lion | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Buck Dynasty | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Stay On Base | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Raise Em Up | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Grand Marais | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Miracle Mountain | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Taste for Talent | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Killeen | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blushing Dreamer | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Round Hill | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Foldover | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sea Vow | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King Bandit | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wabash Cannonball | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dancehall Jack | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Case’s Ticket | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gone Lucky | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Choice | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Corot | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Let’s Go Mick | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bye Bye Birdstone | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rhett n’ Scarlett | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Risky Steps | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arctic Joy | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Meshuga | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Showcase Mall | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Maddy’s Pro | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Hansen’s Holiday | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Final Argument | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Mon | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cajun Carmelized | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Run Bayou Bird | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Rifle Man | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | My First Guitar | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Stumberg | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Flying Rosie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | K P Anna | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Villa Savina (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Brookside | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shook | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Estrela Cadente | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Untruthful Sonnet | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coco Honey | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tiz Cecile | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Marquee Moment | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Spanish Angel | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Booneville Chapel | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pippin | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Grove Daddy | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bring the Dough | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tackett | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moon Launch | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Afleet Moment | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sarcillo | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Plumb Line | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Paul Cane | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sherminator | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Boy | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Two Utes | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Looking for Bull | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Kody Lane | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | A P’s Winner | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jennovodka | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arctic Dynaflow | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz Neyney and Rad | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Twisted Tom | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Great Wide Open (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twenty Four Seven | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Master Merion | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zapperini | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cammack | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Memory Bank | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cooptado (ARG) | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baratti | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Oma Lee | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Andthebandplayedon | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stella’s Surprise | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nana’s Joy | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fancy Pants Jen | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Swifty Cat | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Monarchos Prayer | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | A Pretty Face | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kentucky Steal | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fancy Mallory | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.