Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 24, 2018

November 24, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Da Van Geaux 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Exchange Gold 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Chimneyville 2.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Colonel Soul 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Social Cat 3.50 4.9 9-1
5 5 Thirtysix G’s 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Rocky Toga 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Roar of the Lion 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Buck Dynasty 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Stay On Base 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Raise Em Up 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Grand Marais 6.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Miracle Mountain 4.50 2.9 5-1
8 5 Taste for Talent 3.50 3.6 7-1
9 6 Killeen 1.80 3.7 7-1
1 1 Blushing Dreamer 20.00 4 7-1
4 3 Round Hill 12.00 4.3 8-1
5 4 Foldover 6.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sea Vow 1.80 2 4-1
2 2 King Bandit 3.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Wabash Cannonball 3.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Dancehall Jack 5.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Case’s Ticket 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Gone Lucky 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Blue Choice 15.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Corot 1.40 1.9 4-1
6 6 Let’s Go Mick 3.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Bye Bye Birdstone 4.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Rhett n’ Scarlett 10.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Risky Steps 12.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Arctic Joy 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Meshuga 15.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Showcase Mall 12.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Maddy’s Pro 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Hansen’s Holiday 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Final Argument 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Lucky Mon 5.00 2.6 5-1
3 2 Cajun Carmelized 10.00 2.9 5-1
7 5 Run Bayou Bird 2.50 3 6-1
6 4 Rifle Man 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 My First Guitar 12.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Stumberg 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Flying Rosie 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 K P Anna 20.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Villa Savina (IRE) 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 2 Miss Brookside 5.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Shook 4.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Estrela Cadente 3.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Untruthful Sonnet 6.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Coco Honey 20.00 5.7 11-1
5 4 Tiz Cecile 10.00 6.3 12-1
11 10 Marquee Moment 6.00 6.5 12-1
9 8 Spanish Angel 8.00 7.1 13-1
10 9 Booneville Chapel 8.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Pippin 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Grove Daddy 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Bring the Dough 3.50 3.1 6-1
8 7 Tackett 3.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Moon Launch 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 8 Afleet Moment 6.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Sarcillo 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 5 Plumb Line 12.00 6.2 12-1
7 6 Paul Cane 12.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sherminator 3.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 American Boy 8.00 4 8-1
5 5 Two Utes 4.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Looking for Bull 4.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Sweet Kody Lane 12.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 A P’s Winner 6.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Jennovodka 30.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Arctic Dynaflow 8.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Tiz Neyney and Rad 10.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Twisted Tom 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Great Wide Open (IRE) 3.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Twenty Four Seven 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Master Merion 5.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Zapperini 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Cammack 4.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Memory Bank 5.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Cooptado (ARG) 12.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Baratti 12.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Oma Lee 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Andthebandplayedon 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Stella’s Surprise 4.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Nana’s Joy 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Fancy Pants Jen 3.50 4.7 9-1
3 3 Swifty Cat 15.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Monarchos Prayer 8.00 5.1 10-1
9 8 A Pretty Face 6.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Kentucky Steal 15.00 6.3 12-1
10 9 Fancy Mallory 20.00 7.7 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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