November 24, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Brian’s Spirit | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Best Little Man | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Song and a G | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ikon Who | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Truly Bling | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cape Town Willy | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Texas Generator | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | King Cookie | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Goliath Ridge | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Foolish Steve | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Toast to Michael | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | I Believe in Us | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Landing Man | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | E Porto | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Debriyn | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tick Tock Tizzy | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cachito | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Heza Bling Thing | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | R. V.’s Express | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Izzy B Winn | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Highroller Man | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tricky Slew | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Mr. Priority | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Krisynsarasboy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Sir Etney John | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Babyface Ransom | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spicey Lil Lewey | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Custom Vision | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Run Rocket | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flash of Pepper | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Power of the Pen | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sidney’s Hunch | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mr Goodman | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flash’s Adventure | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Late Appointment | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Purely Blessed | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Katniss | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Classy and Rich | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Careless Whisper | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pauler | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rosada’s Rose | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Abama Light | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | All Fore Kicks | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Wish for Interest | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bayouland Star | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Jolie Gee | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | English Talent | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Skedaddle Babe | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Uruguay | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mylie Idel | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Runforacure | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Brooklyn | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Send Her Marie | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sorcerer’s Bag | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Dry Wood Creek | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 12 | A We Bit Flirty | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 4 | Bluegrass Punch | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arkansas Martini | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dr. Zipcity | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | King’s Share | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Culp’s Hill | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Arctic Tribe | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | That’s D ‘cat | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Drewsizzle | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fancy This | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Beau Gator | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fiddlers Farewell | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Toss the Tub | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Skylas Gold | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Cash for the Soul | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Only Liquor | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Carlsbad | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Reckless Ransom | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Lion Heart Legend | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Halfflatt | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Cale’s Gold | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Arch Arch Baby | 1.40 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Facets of Ice | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Poopsie Doopsie | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cat’s Eternalflame | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yours and Mine | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quiet Flattering | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flash N Go | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She’s Undawnted | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Apple Dapple | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Naughty Me | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Say Mo | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shanghai Woman | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Laneys Love | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Net a Bear | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rock the Jukebox | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Manassas | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Cork Arm | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Run Adrian Run | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | V Double U | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Little Red Kid | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Soldiers Letter | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hot Ten | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gridiron Cat | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vicks First Pick | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mickey | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Run the Bank | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mr Red Sensation | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Peerage | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.