Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 24, 2018

November 24, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Brian’s Spirit 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Best Little Man 4.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Song and a G 3.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Ikon Who 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Truly Bling 5.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Cape Town Willy 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Texas Generator 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 King Cookie 6.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Goliath Ridge 30.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Foolish Steve 20.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Toast to Michael 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 I Believe in Us 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Landing Man 2.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 E Porto 5.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Debriyn 10.00 4 7-1
5 4 Tick Tock Tizzy 12.00 4.7 9-1
9 8 Cachito 2.50 5.2 10-1
11 10 Heza Bling Thing 10.00 6.1 12-1
6 5 R. V.’s Express 15.00 6.2 12-1
7 6 Izzy B Winn 12.00 6.5 12-1
8 7 Highroller Man 20.00 7 13-1
10 9 Tricky Slew 30.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Mr. Priority 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Krisynsarasboy 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Sir Etney John 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Babyface Ransom 2.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Spicey Lil Lewey 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Custom Vision 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Run Rocket 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Flash of Pepper 20.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Power of the Pen 6.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Sidney’s Hunch 12.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Mr Goodman 20.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Flash’s Adventure 30.00 8.2 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Late Appointment 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Purely Blessed 4.00 4 8-1
8 8 Miss Katniss 2.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Classy and Rich 10.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Careless Whisper 3.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Pauler 5.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Rosada’s Rose 20.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Abama Light 30.00 6 11-1
7 7 All Fore Kicks 30.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Wish for Interest 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Bayouland Star 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Jolie Gee 3.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 English Talent 1.60 3.2 6-1
2 2 Skedaddle Babe 5.00 3.4 7-1
4 4 Miss Uruguay 6.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Mylie Idel 20.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Runforacure 20.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Lady Brooklyn 12.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Send Her Marie 30.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Sorcerer’s Bag 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Dry Wood Creek 12.00 SCRATCH
1A 12 A We Bit Flirty 2.50 SCRATCH
1 4 Bluegrass Punch 2.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Arkansas Martini 3.50 4.3 8-1
9 9 Dr. Zipcity 5.00 5 9-1
2 1 King’s Share 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Culp’s Hill 8.00 5.5 10-1
4 3 Arctic Tribe 20.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 That’s D ‘cat 6.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Drewsizzle 8.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Fancy This 10.00 6.4 12-1
3 2 Beau Gator 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fiddlers Farewell 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Toss the Tub 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Skylas Gold 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Cash for the Soul 2.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Only Liquor 8.00 2.9 5-1
6 4 Carlsbad 4.50 3.3 6-1
7 5 Reckless Ransom 10.00 4.5 8-1
5 3 Lion Heart Legend 20.00 4.9 9-1
10 7 Halfflatt 10.00 5.7 11-1
9 6 Cale’s Gold 12.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Arch Arch Baby 1.40 2.9 6-1
3 3 Facets of Ice 3.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Poopsie Doopsie 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Cat’s Eternalflame 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Yours and Mine 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Quiet Flattering 10.00 5 9-1
7 7 Flash N Go 4.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 She’s Undawnted 12.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Apple Dapple 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Naughty Me 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Just Say Mo 3.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Shanghai Woman 4.00 4 7-1
2 2 Laneys Love 6.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Net a Bear 10.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Rock the Jukebox 5.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Miss Manassas 30.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Cork Arm 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Run Adrian Run 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 V Double U 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Little Red Kid 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Soldiers Letter 8.00 4.5 9-1
8 7 Hot Ten 3.50 4.7 9-1
9 8 Gridiron Cat 4.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Vicks First Pick 30.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Mickey 6.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Run the Bank 20.00 5.4 10-1
10 9 Mr Red Sensation 5.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Peerage 30.00 6.3 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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